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Toluca vs. Puebla Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [10/22/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Toluca-Puebla Predictions and Game Preview.
Estadio Nemesio Díez sets the stage for the Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Puebla on Tuesday, October 22, 2024.

Toluca and Puebla will lock horns in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Tuesday, October 22, starting at 11:05PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for the Toluca-Puebla game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 73.1% chance of winning, Puebla a 10.7% chance, and a 16.2% chance of a draw."

Toluca vs. Puebla Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The action between Toluca and Puebla at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to start at 11:05PM ET on Tuesday, October 22, 2024.

  • Who: Toluca vs. Puebla
  • Date: Tuesday, October 22, 2024
  • Time: 11:05PM ET/8:05PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of the Toluca vs. Puebla matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Puebla picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20SOCCER at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Toluca vs. Puebla Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of the Liga MX game between Toluca and Puebla 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 73.1% chance of Toluca winning, a 10.7% chance for Puebla, and a 16.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 64% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Toluca vs. Puebla Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Toluca Puebla Draw
-250 +650 +360

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-122 -110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Toluca vs. Puebla Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Toluca vs. Puebla matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Puebla: Correct Score Prediction

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
TOL 2-0 PUE 11.2%
TOL 2-1 PUE 9.4%
TOL 3-0 PUE 9.2%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 73.1% win probability, Puebla has a 10.7% win probability, and there is a 16.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Puebla insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Liga MX

Keep up with the latest Liga MX news and our data-driven Liga MX best bets and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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