Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on April 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
2
1
Apr 6, 2:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Sevilla
Apr 6, 2:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
L. Agoume (7')
J. Alvarez (pen.) (25')
P. Barrios (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAtletico MadridSevillaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAtletico MadridSevillaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: S. Idumbo replaces L. Agoume
90'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by P. Barrios, assisted by M. Llorente
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
K. Salas (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
R. Le Normand (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Lemar replaces C. Gallagher
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: S. Niguez replaces A. S. Lokonga
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces C. Ejuke
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces G. Simeone
57'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces C. Azpilicueta
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Griezmann
51'
Yellow Card
G. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces N. Molina
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: N. Gudelj replaces A. Pedrosa
25'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez (pen.)
1-1
11'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces R. Vargas
7'
Goal scored for Sevilla by L. Agoume
0-1

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sevilla +250, Atletico Madrid +120, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+126/-154)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sevilla: 29.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 42.6%
  • Draw: 27.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sevilla a win probability of 29.6%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 42.6%. The chance of a draw is 27.7%.

Summary

Our Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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