Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 22, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Puebla
0
5
Oct 23, 3:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 23, 3:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
F. Pereira (15')
I. Violante (37')
A. Vega (52')
Paulinho (57')
Paulinho (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-5
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. Rodriguez replaces B. Angulo
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces M. Ruiz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Alvarez replaces L. Quinones
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: S. Ormeno replaces E. Gomez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. del Villar replaces J. Angulo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces C. Baeza
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: K. Castillo replaces A. Vega
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces D. De Buen
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: R. Castillo replaces A. Robles
57'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-4
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
52'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
0-3
45'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante
0-2
29'
Yellow Card
Luan (Toluca) cautioned
24'
Penalty missed by Paulinho for Toluca
15'
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Pereira, assisted by J. Angulo
0-1

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Puebla vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
  • Date: Tuesday, October 22, 2024
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Puebla +800, Toluca -275, Draw +475

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Puebla: 10.9%
  • Toluca: 73.4%
  • Draw: 15.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Puebla 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 73.4%, while Puebla has a win probability of 10.9%. The chance of a draw is 15.7%.

Summary

Our Puebla vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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