Bengals Ja’Marr Chase Projected to Explode Against Chiefs

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Bengals Ja’Marr Chase Projected to Explode Against Chiefs

We're officially on the road to Super Bowl LVII! But before the big game in Arizona, the NFL Conference Championships this weekend will pit the Philadelphia Eagles against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC championship game, while the Cincinnati Bengals will try to take down the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC title game. Ahead of Championship Sunday, our NFL predictions model has identified Bengals' wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase as someone who could headline the day with a big performance that you'd be crazy not to take advantage of.

RELATED: Our Conference Championships Best Bets

 

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Ja'Marr Chase Prop Prediction vs. Chiefs

With a receiving yard line set by DraftKings Sportsbook of 83.5 yards, our DimersBOT NFL predictions model is anticipating some value to be had. After 10,000 simulations of this game using our projection model, we have the electric Bengals receiver down to amass 109 receiving yards against the Chiefs on Sunday.

It's an excellent matchup for the former LSU man, coming up against a Kansas City defense that ranks 18th in the league for passing yards allowed to their opponent per game this season, with an average of 220.9 yards.

Chase has been in fine form recently, hitting this mark in two of his last three games, only coming up short last week against the Buffalo Bills; a game affected by a snowstorm.

Ja'Marr Chase's last three games:

WEEK OPPONENT RECEIVING YARDS
Week 18 vs. Ravens 86
Wild Card Round vs. Ravens 84
Divisional Round vs. Bills 61

When digging deeper into the 22-year-old's career history against Kansas City, and it's clear that Chase is a possibility to go big once again on Sunday.

Ja'Marr Chase's last three games vs. Chiefs:

DATE OPPONENT RECEIVING YARDS
January 2, 2022 vs. Chiefs 226
January 30, 2022 vs. Chiefs 54
December 4, 2022 vs. Chiefs 97

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

How to Bet Ja'Marr Chase vs. Chiefs

With our DimersBOT predictive analytics model predicting a total of 109 yards for Chase, there are a variety of ways bettors can take advantage and cash in.

First up, it's a no-brainer to take Ja'Marr Chase over 83.5 receiving yards at -115 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

But what about those of you who like living life a little more dangerously? May we suggest a ladder play? By taking a small amount of bankroll and distributing it among Chase's alternative receiving yard props, you could yield a big return if our predictions come to fruition.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a raft of alternative receiving yard lines available on the Bengals vs. Chiefs game. We would recommend playing him up to 110+ receiving yards, but if you think he could emulate his 226-yard performance against Kansas City in January 2022, the sky is the limit.

Ja'Marr Chase alt receiving yards ladder play:

RECEIVING YARDS ODDS
90+ Receiving Yards +108
100+ Receiving Yards +162
110+ Receiving Yards +225
125+ Receiving Yards +360
150+ Receiving Yards +750

Additionally, with receiving touchdowns in five of his last six games, bettors may be tempted to look at Ja'Marr Chase to score a touchdown. Our projections list Chase high on our list of most likely touchdown scorers for the game, giving him a 46.4% chance to score anytime. Unfortunately, though, the sportsbooks have gobbled up a lot of the value for Chase to get into the end zone, with the best odds available of around -105 with FanDuel Sportsbook, giving us a a negative edge against the lines supplied by the 'books. Our suggestion would be to steer clear and focus on Chase to rack up the yards at Arrowhead Stadium.

 

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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