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Experts release new Commanders-Eagles prediction after Jayden Daniels gets brutal news
Updated: | First published:
Written by Pat Sharyon, Content Writer
Reviewed by Mac Douglass
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The Washington Commanders will face the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs on Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. EST at Lincoln Financial Field.
The health of key players has become a significant storyline ahead of this high-stakes matchup, with the latest updates painting a grim picture for Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels. Daniels, who has led Washington to its first NFC Championship Game since 1991, will face an uphill battle after a combination of injuries to his offensive line and the return of a key Eagles defender.
The loss of starting right guard Sam Cosmi, who suffered a season-ending ACL injury during Washington’s divisional-round win over Detroit, is a devastating blow to the Commanders' pass protection. Cosmi, a stalwart on the interior, earned a 73.3 Pro Football Focus pass-blocking grade this season, ranking 14th among NFL guards.
"[Cosmi] does have an ACL injury that will knock him out for the rest of the season," Commanders Head Coach Dan Quinn told reporters. "... It's a big deal."
In Cosmi's absence, backup Trent Scott is expected to step in, though Scott has primarily played as a reserve tackle. Scott’s inexperience at the position comes at the worst possible time, as he’ll face Eagles All-Pro defensive tackle Jalen Carter, who has terrorized opposing quarterbacks this postseason with eight pressures, five QB hits, two sacks, and a forced fumble.
The news gets worse for Daniels as the Eagles defense will be reinforced by the return of cornerback Quinyon Mitchell, who has been cleared to play after a shoulder injury sidelined him during the divisional round. Mitchell, one of the league’s premier shutdown corners, strengthens an already formidable Eagles secondary, significantly limiting the windows for Daniels to make plays downfield.
The pressure on Daniels will be immense. Without Cosmi anchoring the offensive line, he’ll likely face constant disruption from Carter and Philadelphia’s pass rush. Meanwhile, the improved secondary will force Daniels to be more precise with his throws, a tall order considering the circumstances.
These updates prompted Dimers' analysts to reevaluate their predictions and player stat projections using new simulations that factored in this week's string of NFC Championship injury updates.
The results of Dimers’ simulations were compared to updated sportsbook odds to compile the data-driven Commanders-Eagles preview below.
Commanders vs. Eagles betting preview
Utilize the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, total, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Commanders-Eagles game at Lincoln Financial Field.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:45PM, Jan 26
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Game details
Key information on the Commanders vs. Eagles matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Date: Sunday, January 26, 2025
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. EST
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field
- NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
- NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report
Odds
The latest and best odds for the NFL clash between the Commanders and Eagles.
- Spread: Commanders +6.5 (-120), Eagles -6.5 (-102)
- Moneyline: Commanders +240, Eagles -285
- Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fans of both teams can unlock $150 betting bonuses with the exclusive Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS,"which has emerged as a popular NFC Championship betting deal among local Commanders and Eagles fans in Virginia and Pennsylvania.
Expert prediction: Commanders vs. Eagles
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders vs. Eagles game.
According to Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, the Eagles are more likely to defeat the Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Eagles a 70% chance of winning the game.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Commanders (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Eagles best bet
Our top pick for the Commanders vs. Eagles game on Sunday is to bet on the Commanders +6.5 (-120).
This expert betting advice is based on detailed modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.
Score prediction for Commanders vs. Eagles
Dimers' projected final score for the Washington vs. Philadelphia game on Sunday has the Eagles winning 26-20.
This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
NFL player props: Sunday
NFL player prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's game without necessarily betting on its outcome.
This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Commanders and Eagles, as well as projected player stats.
Washington Commanders
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 8.3% probability
- Brian Robinson: 7.8% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 7.0% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 38.0% probability
- Brian Robinson: 35.7% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 33.0% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jayden Daniels, 217 yards
- Receiving yards: Terry McLaurin, 71 yards
- Rushing yards: Brian Robinson, 51 yards
Philadelphia Eagles
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Jalen Hurts: 17.7% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 15.6% probability
- A.J. Brown: 5.9% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Jalen Hurts: 65.1% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 60.4% probability
- A.J. Brown: 28.1% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jalen Hurts, 191 yards
- Receiving yards: A.J. Brown, 56 yards
- Rushing yards: Saquon Barkley, 141 yards
NFL Week 21: Commanders vs. Eagles
Get ready for Sunday's matchup between the Commanders and Eagles in the NFC Championship Game of the National Football League season at Lincoln Financial Field, which is scheduled to start at 3 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets on this page are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Commanders vs. Eagles matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publishing. They aim to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and seek trustworthy sources for the latest and most accurate information.
To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Mac Douglass as part of our fact-checking process.
Pat Sharyon is an experienced writer who specializes in NFL and college football while also covering tennis, MLB, golf and a variety of international sports. Hailing originally from Boston, Massachusetts, Pat has a degree in linguistics from the University of California at Santa Cruz.
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