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Broncos vs. Bills Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win Wild Card Game [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills matchup.
The Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos are scheduled to meet in the Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bills as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Denver-Buffalo game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bills with a win probability of 72%, while the Broncos have 28%."
This updated Broncos vs. Bills betting preview builds on my early Broncos vs. Bills prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Broncos vs. Bills predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20FOOTBALL Get Dimers Pro Broncos vs. Bills Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's action between the Bills and Broncos at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Bills and Broncos gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Broncos vs. Bills matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Denver vs. Buffalo picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Broncos vs. Bills Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Broncos and Bills 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bills a 72% chance of beating the Broncos. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 27-20.
According to our model, the Broncos (+8) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Broncos vs. Bills Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8 (-110) | -8 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +350 | -440 |
| Total | o49.5 (-105) | u49.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Bills Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Broncos vs. Bills matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Broncos-Bills Pick Get Dimers Pro Broncos vs. Bills TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Bills?
According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first TD in Broncos vs. Bills.
Our projections give Allen an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 49.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 9.4% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 5.9% |
| Marvin Mims | 5.3% |
Buffalo Bills
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 11.7% |
| James Cook | 11.2% |
| Khalil Shakir | 6.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 42.9% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 28.7% |
| Marvin Mims | 27.4% |
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 49.7% |
| James Cook | 49.1% |
| Khalil Shakir | 31.1% |
Broncos vs Bills Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Bills. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Broncos-Bills page now to access every player prop projection.
Broncos vs. Bills Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bills' Josh Allen.
Broncos Rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin, Audric Estime and Bo Nix are projected to be the leading rushers for the Broncos.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB |
| Audric Estime | RB |
| Bo Nix | QB |
Bills Rushing
James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are expected to lead the Bills in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| James Cook | RB |
| Josh Allen | QB |
| Ray Davis | RB |
Broncos Receiving
Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims, Devaughn Vele, Troy Franklin and Javonte Williams are projected to top the receiving yards for the Broncos.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | WR |
| Marvin Mims | WR |
| Devaughn Vele | WR |
| Troy Franklin | WR |
| Javonte Williams | RB |
Bills Receiving
Khalil Shakir, Amari Cooper, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman and Mack Hollins are projected to lead the Bills in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | WR |
| Amari Cooper | WR |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE |
| Keon Coleman | WR |
| Mack Hollins | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Bills, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Bills insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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