Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]

The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills are scheduled to meet in Week 18 of the NFL season at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, starting at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for this week's Bills vs. Dolphins matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and data to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Bills and Dolphins 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills a 59% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Bills winning 24-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Bills and Dolphins have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point Over/Under also has a 56% chance of going under.

This Buffalo vs. Miami betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Bills vs. Dolphins Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bills	Dolphins
Spread	-2.5 (-115)	+2.5 (+105)
Moneyline	-146	+130
Total	o48.5 (-105)	u48.5 (-115)

• The Dolphins are currently +2.5 underdogs versus the Bills, with +105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the favored Bills (-2.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -115.
• DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +130. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.
• Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -146, where you can risk $146 to win $100 for a total payout of $246 if they come out on top.
• The Over/Under is set at 48.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -115.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Bills vs. Dolphins Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Dolphins +2.5	+105
Moneyline	Bills	-146
Total	Under 48.5	-115

Our NFL best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Bills vs. Dolphins TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Dolphins?

According to our model, Buffalo's James Cook is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Cook a 12.6% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Bills RB is a 51.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	First TD Probability
James Cook	12.6%
Stefon Diggs	9.8%
Josh Allen	7.7%
Gabe Davis	6.9%
Dalton Kincaid	5.4%

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane	12.4%
Tyreek Hill	12.2%
Jeff Wilson	5.1%
Durham Smythe	4.1%
Cedrick Wilson	3.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime TD Probability
James Cook	51.7%
Stefon Diggs	43.7%
Josh Allen	35.3%
Gabe Davis	32.0%
Dalton Kincaid	26.9%

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane	54.1%
Tyreek Hill	50.1%
Jeff Wilson	25.3%
Durham Smythe	20.1%
Cedrick Wilson	20.0%

Bills vs Dolphins Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Bills and Dolphins, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Bills vs. Dolphins Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to have a big game with 266 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for a whopping 265 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Josh Allen (BUF)	266 yds
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)	265 yds

Bills Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
James Cook	64 yds
Josh Allen	20 yds
Ty Johnson	16 yds

Dolphins Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
De'Von Achane	107 yds
Jeff Wilson	18 yds
Tyreek Hill	9 yds

Bills Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Stefon Diggs	64 yds
Dalton Kincaid	36 yds
Gabe Davis	32 yds
Khalil Shakir	28 yds
James Cook	23 yds

Dolphins Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Tyreek Hill	102 yds
Cedrick Wilson	36 yds
De'Von Achane	30 yds
Durham Smythe	25 yds
Jeff Wilson	16 yds

Don't forget, our model updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights before the Bills vs. Dolphins on Sunday January 7, 2024.

Bills vs. Dolphins Game Information

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Dolphins and Bills at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
• Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

Our full coverage of Bills vs. Dolphins includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Bills vs. Dolphins

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Bills vs. Dolphins Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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