Early Super Bowl 59 Predictions Reveal Chiefs' Most Likely Touchdown Scorer

The stage has been set for Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans with the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl 57 on Sunday, February 9, 2025.

Each team has pulled off some impressive feats this postseason behind the likes of superstars Saquon Barkley, Patrick Mahomes and more, with all eyes on a possible Chiefs "threepeat" as they go for their third-straight Super Bowl victory, which would be the first time in NFL history.

With the prop markets open and sportsbooks bringing in action, bettors are already looking for early Super Bowl 59 betting value from the moneyline and Chiefs -1.5 opening spread, to Super Bowl player props, touchdown picks and beyond and the DimersBOT model has already released its first predictions in the wake of the first injury reports.

One area where bettors are looking for an edge is the Anytime TD market, particularly between the Kansas City Chiefs' two running backs, Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco.

The Chiefs dealt with a number of key injuries this season, including to starting RB Pacheco who emerged as an RB1 threat last season with 9 total touchdowns and nearly 1,200 total yards.

He was injured in the Chiefs' second game this season, opening the door for the organization to bring back free agent Kareem Hunt who spent time with the Chiefs earlier in his career before off-field issues led to his release.

Hunt seized the opportunity, tallying 728 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns in 13 games during the regular season, as well as scoring twice in the playoffs so far.

Even with Pacheco returning, he hasn't looked back to full strength, with his production actually declining in the games since he returned, surpassing 3.0 YPC just once, and seeing fewer than 10 touches in four straight games.

Super Bowl Prop Predictions - Kareem Hunt & Isiah Pacheco

Kareem Hunt has continued to produce even with Isiah Pacheco returning. He's scored in four straight games dating back to the regular season and is slightly more efficient (4.3 YPC) in the postseason than he was throughout the regular season (3.6 YPC).

With Pacheco unable to siphon any volume from Hunt, the Dimers model continues to project Hunt with the greater chance to score in Super Bowl 59 and by a significant margin.

After correctly identifying Kareem Hunt with an edge to score in the AFC Championship, our model once again find Hunt as a value play, giving him a 48.2% chance of an anytime score against his +135 odds for a 5.7% edge. That would be the highest for any player on Kansas City and equals fair odds of about +110. Hunt also has a 10.6% probability to score the first touchdown in the game.

Isiah Pacheco, on the other hand, draws just a 21.3% probability to score a touchdown which makes fair odds of +370, however, you can only get Pacheco at around +310 (implies 24.4%).

The Eagles boast one of the NFL's most impressive rushing defenses, which explains the plus-money value on Kareem Hunt to score, but have allowed a rushing TD in 2/3 postseason games so far.

Based on the DimersBOT predictions, Kareem Hunt to Score an Anytime Touchdown is our best TD prop in Super Bowl 59.

For more Super Bowl 59 betting insights, read our predictions below or visit our full game preview here.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl betting preview

Check out all the important details on The Big Game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Super Bowl 59 Game details

The key information you need before Super Bowl LIX:

• Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. EST
• Location: Caesars Superdome
• NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
• NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report

Super Bowl 59 Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Chiefs-Eagles battle:

• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-110), Eagles +1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -124, Eagles +110
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-105/-110)

The odds and lines featured here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fans of both teams can unlock betting bonuses with the NFL betting promos from DraftKings, BetMGM, and FanDuel, while Bet365’s $150 sign-up offer has emerged as the most popular Eagles-Chiefs betting deal among local Eagles fans in Pennsylvania.

Expert Super Bowl 59 prediction: Chiefs vs. Eagles

Using state-of-the-art data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of the Chiefs vs. Eagles game.

According to Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, the Chiefs are more likely to beat the Eagles at Caesars Superdome. This prediction is based on the model giving the Chiefs a 57% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Chiefs (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Chiefs vs. Eagles best bet

Our top pick for the Chiefs vs. Eagles game on Sunday is to bet on Under 49.5 points (-110). This pick is based on the value available in the best odds a the time of publishing.

This betting advice is formulated through detailed modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to assist you in making more informed decisions.

Score prediction for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Dimers' latest predicted final score for the Kansas City vs. Philadelphia game on Sunday, February 9 has the Chiefs winning 25-23.

This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

NFL player props: Super Bowl 59

NFL player props are a common way to wager on Sunday's game without necessarily betting on its outcome.

In line with our touchdown analysis of Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco, below you will find our individual rushing yards projections for each player, as well as the line available on bet365 sportsbook:

Kansas City Chiefs Projected Rushing Yards

• Kareem Hunt: 48.2 rushing yards (o/u 44.5)
• Isiah Pacheco: 21.3 rushing yards (o/u 22.5)

Super Bowl 59: Chiefs vs. Eagles

Get ready for the Super Bowl LIX matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles in the 2025 Super Bowl at Caesars Superdome, which is scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m. EST on Sunday, February 9. We emphasize that all of the NFL best bets and NFL predictions on this page are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Chiefs vs. Eagles game, and they are correct at the time of publication to help you make more informed choices when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

It is important to gamble responsibly and seek reliable sources for accurate and up-to-date information when making online betting decisions.