Bills vs. Rams Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win in NFL Week 14 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams matchup.

Buffalo Bills-Los Angeles Rams Predictions and Game Preview.
SoFi Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams this Sunday.

The Los Angeles Rams and Buffalo Bills will meet in Week 14 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bills as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Buffalo-LA Rams game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bills with a win probability of 59%, while the Rams have 41%."

This updated Bills vs. Rams betting preview builds on my early Bills vs. Rams prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bills vs. Rams predictions page.

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Bills vs. Rams Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 14 game between the Rams and Bills at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Bills vs. Rams matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Buffalo vs. LA Rams picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Rams Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bills and Rams 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Bills a 59% chance of beating the Rams in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 26-23.

According to our model, the Rams (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

In addition to our Bills vs. Rams predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

Bills vs. Rams Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bills Rams
Spread -3.5 (-108) +3.5 (-102)
Moneyline -190 +160
Total o49.5 (-112) u49.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bills vs. Rams Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bills vs. Rams matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Rams TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Rams?

According to our model, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is most likely to score the first TD in Bills vs. Rams.

Our projections give Williams a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Rams RB is a 53.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player First TD Probability
James Cook 10.3%
Josh Allen 9.6%
Khalil Shakir 6.6%

Los Angeles Rams

Player First TD Probability
Kyren Williams 12.3%
Puka Nacua 8.8%
Cooper Kupp 8.3%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player Anytime TD Probability
James Cook 44.7%
Josh Allen 44.5%
Khalil Shakir 32.1%

Los Angeles Rams

Player Anytime TD Probability
Kyren Williams 53.9%
Puka Nacua 42.1%
Cooper Kupp 38.8%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 14 touchdown scorer predictions

Bills vs Rams Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Rams. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bills-Rams page now to access every player prop projection.

Bills vs. Rams Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Rams' Matthew Stafford.

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bills.

Player Position
James Cook RB
Josh Allen QB
Ray Davis RB

Rams Rushing

Kyren Williams, Blake Corum and Matthew Stafford are expected to lead the Rams in rushing yards.

Player Position
Kyren Williams RB
Blake Corum RB
Matthew Stafford QB

Bills Receiving

Khalil Shakir, Amari Cooper, Keon Coleman, Dawson Knox and Mack Hollins are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bills.

Player Position
Khalil Shakir WR
Amari Cooper WR
Keon Coleman WR
Dawson Knox TE
Mack Hollins WR

Rams Receiving

Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, Demarcus Robinson, Kyren Williams and Colby Parkinson are projected to lead the Rams in receiving yards.

Player Position
Puka Nacua WR
Cooper Kupp WR
Demarcus Robinson WR
Kyren Williams RB
Colby Parkinson TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Bills, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rams on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Rams insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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