Mar 8, 2025
Dimers Best Futures Bets: A Look Back at Our Best Season-Long Predictions
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Bucky Irving and Mike Evans Lead New Commanders-Bucs TD Scorer Predictions
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Reviewed by Mac Douglass
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We dive into the most likely touchdown scorers in today's Commanders-Bucs Wild Card game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium this Sunday night in a Wild Card showdown featuring two explosive offenses. With the Bucs favored by 3 points, Bucky Irving and Mike Evans are expected to play pivotal roles in leading Tampa Bay's attack, while Jayden Daniels, Brian Robinson, and Terry McLaurin will be key contributors for Washington.
NFL legend Robert Griffin III recently praised Jayden Daniels' record-breaking season, saying, "I wanted Jayden Daniels to break my rookie rushing record because I’m not about rooting against the next generation. He EARNED IT. He is the FUTURE."
Bucky Irving and Mike Evans Projected for Big Games
All week, questions have swirled surrounding Commanders-Bucs stat projections, largely do to the NFL prop betting deals announced this week by DraftKings and BetMGM, which offer huge rewards for correct TD-scorer prop bets.
DraftKings' King of the End Zone promo will reward participants with a share of $2 million if they can place a winning $5 bet on the Commanders vs. Buccaneers, an upgrade to their $200 sign-up offer. BetMGM is now offering a share of $250K to anyone who correctly bets $10 on the longest TD of the Wild Card Round.
Commanders-Bucs props are trending with multiple TD scorer betting bonuses are now available for Wild Card weekend.
In response, our analysts released new simulation results for the Commanders vs. Buccaneers this morning. Alongside QB Baker Mayfield, Irving and Evans have been the most important offensive players for the Bucs' run to the playoffs this season, with the following stats projected for them tonight:
Bucky Irving:
- 87 rushing yards
- 26 receiving yards
- 56.9% chance of a touchdown, 13.4% probability to score first
Mike Evans:
- 87 receiving yards
- 50.0% chance of a touchdown, 11.6% probability to score first
Baker Mayfield:
- 280 passing yards
- 17 rushing yards
Commanders Lean on Daniels, Robinson, and McLaurin for Playoff Push
Alongside the incredible rookie season of Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have seen top offensive season from Brian Robinson and Terry McLaurin, with our experts projecting them for the following box scores tonight:
Jayden Daniels:
- 227 passing yards
- 42 rushing yards
- 39.1% chance of a touchdown, 8.1% probability to score first
Brian Robinson:
- 61 rushing yards
- 38.8% chance of a touchdown, 8.2% probability to score first
Terry McLaurin:
- 65 receiving yards
- 38.7% chance of a touchdown, 7.9% probability to score first
I wanted Jayden Daniels to break my rookie rushing record because I’m not about rooting against the next generation. He EARNED IT. He is the FUTURE. Some of these old heads need to stop drinking all that haterade and lift up these young guys instead of tearing them down. pic.twitter.com/SesP9KTdpM
— Robert Griffin III (@RGIII) December 30, 2024
Top 5 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Dimers’ data highlights Bucky Irving and Mike Evans as the most likely anytime scorers for this game, with Commanders’ stars Jayden Daniels, Brian Robinson, and Terry McLaurin rounding out the top five.
| Player (Team) | TD Prob. % | DraftKings Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) | 56.9% | -145 |
| Mike Evans (Buccaneers) | 50.0% | +105 |
| Jayden Daniels (Commanders) | 39.1% | +185 |
| Brian Robinson (Commanders) | 38.8% | +155 |
| Terry McLaurin (Commanders) | 38.7% | +115 |
Top 5 First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For bettors seeking higher payouts, here are the top five players most likely to score the first touchdown in the Commanders vs. Buccaneers game.
| Player (Team) | 1st TD Prob. % | DraftKings Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) | 13.4% | +475 |
| Mike Evans (Buccaneers) | 11.6% | +750 |
| Brian Robinson (Commanders) | 8.2% | +1200 |
| Jayden Daniels (Commanders) | 8.1% | +1300 |
| Terry McLaurin (Commanders) | 7.9% | +1000 |
For more on this week's action, check out our full list of touchdown predictions for Wild Card Weekend.
Could Receivers or Rushers Rule DraftKings' King of the End Zone?
DraftKings' King of the End Zone promo gives players a shot at winning a share of $2 million in bonus bets for the longest touchdown of the day. But who’s better suited to claim the title in this matchup—receivers like Mike Evans and Terry McLaurin, or rushers like Bucky Irving, Jayden Daniels, and Brian Robinson?
With Evans and McLaurin known for their ability to make big plays downfield, they may have the edge for long-yardage touchdowns. However, rushers like Irving and Robinson bring the potential to break free for explosive runs, while Daniels’ dual-threat capability adds an unpredictable element to the mix.
If you don't qualify for DraftKings' offer,this $150 bonus bet offer from Bet365 is a great alternative.
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Bucky Irving and Mike Evans lead the Buccaneers’ offensive firepower, while Jayden Daniels, Brian Robinson, and Terry McLaurin anchor the Commanders' attack in this pivotal Wild Card game. Both teams feature dynamic playmakers poised to make their mark under the playoff lights.
To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Mac Douglass as part of our fact-checking process.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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