Broncos vs. Chiefs Week 6 Prediction and Odds - October 12, 2023

NFL Week 6 action continues on Thursday at 8:15PM ET as the Denver Broncos square off with the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Dimers' best betting picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

Today's Denver vs. Kansas City betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Broncos vs. Chiefs

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Broncos-Chiefs NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs an 82% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Analysis for Broncos vs. Chiefs

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

• Spread: Chiefs -10.5 (-110), Broncos +10.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -620, Broncos +475
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-110)

The Chiefs are -10.5 favorites versus the Broncos, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Broncos (+10.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -620, which means you can risk $620 to win $100, for a total payout of $720, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Broncos at +475, where you can bet $100 to profit $475, earning a total payout of $575, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 47.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all of the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Broncos (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Under.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Denver vs. Kansas City to receive $200 in bonus bets!

More: Best Bets for Every NFL Game

Best Bets: Broncos vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Broncos +10.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook (54% probability)
• Moneyline: Broncos @ +475 via BetMGM (0.7% edge)
• Total: Under 47.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (54% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting expertise to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Broncos moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Denver vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6 has the Chiefs prevailing 28-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Broncos-Chiefs game in Week 6, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Broncos and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Pacheco a 10.3% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Denver Broncos

• Javonte Williams: 8.3% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 7.3% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 5.3% probability
• Samaje Perine: 4.1% probability
• Russell Wilson: 3.2% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Isiah Pacheco: 10.3% probability
• Travis Kelce: 9.8% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 6.3% probability
• Rashee Rice: 5.6% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 4.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Denver Broncos

• Javonte Williams: 38.6% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 35.0% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 25.7% probability
• Samaje Perine: 19.9% probability
• Russell Wilson: 16.4% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Isiah Pacheco: 45.0% probability
• Travis Kelce: 42.7% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 30.1% probability
• Rashee Rice: 27.6% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 22.1% probability

Broncos-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Russell Wilson is projected for 227 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 270 yards.

Broncos Starting QB

• Russell Wilson: 227 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 270 projected yards

Broncos Rushing

• Javonte Williams: 46 projected yards
• Samaje Perine: 22 projected yards
• Russell Wilson: 20 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 81 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 16 projected yards

Broncos Receiving

• Jerry Jeudy: 60 projected yards
• Courtland Sutton: 46 projected yards
• Greg Dulcich: 30 projected yards
• Marvin Mims: 22 projected yards
• Brandon Johnson: 21 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 72 projected yards
• Rashee Rice: 39 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 28 projected yards
• Skyy Moore: 26 projected yards
• Justin Watson: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis before Broncos vs. Chiefs on Thursday October 12, 2023.

Broncos vs. Chiefs 2023

The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Thursday October 12, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Enjoy Dimers and want to keep the site free? Every time you sign up and bet with a sportsbook featured here, we get paid a small fee.

These fees help us keep Dimers free for sports fans like you. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Denver vs. Kansas City.

Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Broncos vs. Chiefs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Analysis Like This?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Broncos vs. Chiefs, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can publish the most comprehensive NFL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.