Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA game on March 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
120
103
Mar 6, 2:30AM FedExForum
Grizzlies
Mar 6, 2:30AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
30 31 30 29 120
Grizzlies
27 28 23 24 103
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
>99%
<1%
GrizzliesMEM
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunderGrizzlies1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunder -7Grizzlies +71QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 253.5Under 253.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Thunder
30 31 30 29 120
Grizzlies
27 28 23 24 103
Q4 00:29 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:15 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:07 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:15
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:15
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-102
Q4 00:15
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-103
Q4 00:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:25
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Q4 00:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:48
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
120-101
Q4 00:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
120-99
Q4 1:12
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q4 1:15
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:30
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
118-99
Q4 1:30
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 1:30
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Ousmane Dieng, Adam Flagler, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 1:30
Grizzlies lineup change (Lamar Stevens, Jay Huff, GG Jackson, Marvin Bagley III, Cam Spencer)
Q4 1:50
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:53
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:15
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
115-99
Q4 2:26
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:26
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 2:27
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 2:32
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q4 2:41
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:55
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
112-99
Q4 3:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
112-96
Q4 3:23
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 3:26
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
110-96
Q4 4:05
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
107-96
Q4 4:09
Thunder turnover
Q4 4:21
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
107-93
Q4 4:21
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:21
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 4:21
+1
Brandon Clarke makes regular free throw 1 of 1
107-94
Q4 4:25
Thunder turnover
Q4 4:47
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:47
Desmond Bane misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 4:47
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 4:47
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-91
Q4 4:50
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 4:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:06
Jump ball. (Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Q4 5:06
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (lost ball)
Q4 5:14
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:28
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 5:28
Vince Williams Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:32
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q4 5:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:54
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
107-89
Q4 5:54
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:54
+1
Vince Williams Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
107-90
Q4 6:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
107-87
Q4 6:01
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 6:01
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q4 6:07
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 6:10
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-87
Q4 6:36
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 6:49
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-87
Q4 6:56
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 6:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:59
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:21
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
100-87
Q4 7:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-85
Q4 7:30
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 7:48
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 7:48
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 7:48
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Zach Edey, GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Vince Williams Jr.)
Q4 7:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-85
Q4 8:05
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 8:05
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 8:05
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Zach Edey, GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr.)
Q4 8:07
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
96-85
Q4 8:30
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 8:32
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:57
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-85
Q4 8:57
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q4 9:18
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 9:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:18
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 9:22
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:35
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q4 9:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:59
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:59
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 9:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:15
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:19
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q4 10:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:35
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
91-85
Q4 10:42
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 10:46
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:51
Thunder turnover
Q4 11:18
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
91-82
Q4 11:21
Thunder personal foul
Q4 11:24
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q4 11:28
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:46
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
91-80
Q3 00:00
Brandon Clarke offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
91-78
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams)
Q3 00:02
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:06
Thunder turnover
Q3 00:22
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 00:22
Brandon Clarke turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 00:27
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q3 00:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:51
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
91-76
Q3 1:14
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 1:14
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-74
Q3 1:14
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-74
Q3 1:26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 1:29
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
89-74
Q3 1:47
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 1:57
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 2:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:28
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
86-74
Q3 2:38
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 2:38
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 2:38
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:38
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 2:38
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 2:38
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q3 2:38
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-71
Q3 2:39
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-71
Q3 3:04
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
83-70
Q3 3:04
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:04
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-71
Q3 3:04
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q3 3:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-68
Q3 3:31
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
81-68
Q3 3:41
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q3 3:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 3:50
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:52
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Q3 3:53
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:04
Thunder turnover
Q3 4:04
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 4:08
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 4:08
Instant replay
Q3 4:08
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 4:08
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q3 4:08
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 4:16
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 4:20
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:39
Jump ball. (Brandon Clarke gains possession)
Q3 4:39
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lost ball)
Q3 4:44
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:44
Instant replay
Q3 4:44
Instant replay
Q3 4:44
Instant replay
Q3 4:44
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 4:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-66
Q3 4:52
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 4:52
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Marvin Bagley III, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke)
Q3 4:52
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-66
Q3 4:52
Ja Morant misses two point driving layup
Q3 4:52
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 5:04
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
78-66
Q3 5:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-64
Q3 5:30
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 5:31
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:44
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:47
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q3 5:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:07
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 6:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-64
Q3 6:17
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 6:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-64
Q3 6:40
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 6:40
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Clarke)
Q3 6:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 6:47
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-64
Q3 7:09
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 7:13
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:13
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q3 7:26
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:26
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 7:26
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 7:39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
70-64
Q3 7:53
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
67-64
Q3 8:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-61
Q3 8:15
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
65-61
Q3 8:23
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 8:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-59
Q3 8:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-59
Q3 8:32
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 8:35
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:45
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:52
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 8:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-59
Q3 9:13
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q3 9:17
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:31
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 9:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:36
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 9:38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:02
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-57
Q3 10:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-55
Q3 10:39
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 10:39
Jump ball. (Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Q3 10:40
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q3 10:40
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:44
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:44
Zach Edey misses two point tip layup
Q3 10:44
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q3 10:53
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q3 10:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:10
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 11:13
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:19
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q3 11:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:30
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 11:34
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:40
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q3 11:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q2 00:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:24
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:24
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-54
Q2 00:24
Grizzlies lineup change (Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q2 00:24
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 00:24
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-55
Q2 00:36
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 00:36
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-53
Q2 00:36
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 00:36
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-53
Q2 00:47
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:47
Instant replay
Q2 00:47
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-52
Q2 00:47
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-53
Q2 00:48
Thunder turnover
Q2 00:51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 00:54
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:11
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-51
Q2 1:34
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
56-51
Q2 1:49
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
56-49
Q2 1:59
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 2:03
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:03
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 2:14
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:14
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 2:23
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q2 2:23
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
53-49
Q2 2:27
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:40
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 2:40
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-47
Q2 2:40
Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q2 2:40
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-47
Q2 2:47
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 2:52
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q2 2:52
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:14
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 3:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
51-47
Q2 3:31
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:31
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-46
Q2 3:31
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-47
Q2 3:43
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 3:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:01
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
48-45
Q2 4:07
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 4:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:15
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 4:22
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:22
Brandon Clarke offensive rebound
Q2 4:22
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 4:23
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 4:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
47-43
Q2 4:37
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:37
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 4:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-43
Q2 4:56
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:58
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:05
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q2 5:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:25
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 5:27
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:33
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q2 5:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:35
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 5:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:41
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q2 5:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:59
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 6:03
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:03
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Clarke)
Q2 6:16
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q2 6:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:44
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-42
Q2 6:44
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ousmane Dieng, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 6:44
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Ja Morant, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q2 6:44
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-43
Q2 6:52
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q2 6:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:58
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 7:01
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:15
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-41
Q2 7:23
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 7:25
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-41
Q2 7:55
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 7:56
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q2 8:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
38-41
Q2 8:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-39
Q2 8:39
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 8:42
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:54
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:04
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 9:06
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
36-39
Q2 9:10
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q2 9:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:32
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
36-36
Q2 9:52
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 9:52
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-34
Q2 9:52
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-34
Q2 10:04
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 10:21
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-34
Q2 10:33
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-34
Q2 10:40
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q2 10:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:50
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:55
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:06
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 11:06
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:06
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 11:06
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-31
Q2 11:07
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 11:11
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:15
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q2 11:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:35
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
30-31
Q2 11:39
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 11:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ousmane Dieng, Jalen Williams)
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q1 00:12
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
30-28
Q1 00:12
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 00:12
Grizzlies lineup change (Lamar Stevens, GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Brandon Clarke)
Q1 00:12
+1
Brandon Clarke makes regular free throw 1 of 1
30-27
Q1 00:12
+1
Brandon Clarke makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-27
Q1 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 00:12
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q1 00:29
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:29
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:29
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 00:29
Instant replay
Q1 00:29
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-26
Q1 00:29
Thunder challenge timeout
Q1 00:29
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q1 00:40
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
27-25
Q1 00:40
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:40
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-26
Q1 00:40
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
28-26
Q1 00:48
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q1 00:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:01
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
27-23
Q1 1:19
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 1:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:40
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
27-21
Q1 2:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-18
Q1 2:12
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 2:12
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 2:12
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Marvin Bagley III, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Desmond Bane)
Q1 2:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-18
Q1 2:40
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 2:43
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-18
Q1 3:10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-18
Q1 3:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-16
Q1 3:48
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
18-16
Q1 3:48
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 3:52
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Q1 3:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:02
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 4:06
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:20
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 4:20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-14
Q1 4:20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-14
Q1 4:30
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 4:32
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:42
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q1 4:42
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:42
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 4:48
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 5:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-14
Q1 5:07
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 5:22
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q1 5:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:39
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
14-14
Q1 6:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-12
Q1 6:18
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
12-12
Q1 6:21
Brandon Clarke defensive rebound
Q1 6:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:32
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
12-10
Q1 6:47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
12-8
Q1 6:53
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 6:57
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:06
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q1 7:06
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Clarke)
Q1 7:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
9-8
Q1 7:25
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 7:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:27
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-8
Q1 7:53
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Q1 7:53
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:53
Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:53
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q1 7:53
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Zach Edey, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q1 7:53
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q1 7:53
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-8
Q1 7:54
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:58
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 8:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:13
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
4-7
Q1 8:20
Thunder turnover
Q1 8:32
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:32
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-4
Q1 8:32
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-5
Q1 8:34
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q1 8:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:45
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 8:47
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-3
Q1 9:25
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 9:41
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 9:44
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:53
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q1 9:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:13
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
2-3
Q1 10:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-0
Q1 10:39
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Q1 10:40
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 10:43
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:45
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:45
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q1 10:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:49
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q1 10:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:01
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 11:05
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:16
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q1 11:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:25
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 11:38
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 11:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:44
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q1 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q1 12:00
(Desmond Bane gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G21A. Wiggins1103
F5L. Dort032
F8J. Williams2048
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander3627
F6J. Williams1340
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G1S. Pippen Jr.1553
G22D. Bane1561
F5V. Williams Jr.1232
G12J. Morant2136
F15B. Clarke13112

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 253.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -245, Grizzlies +230

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 71%
  • Grizzlies: 29%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 128-122 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 71%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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