Toluca vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Atlas Liga MX game on April 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
vs.
Apr 13, 1:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Apr 13, 1:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 9:08PM, Mar 31
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
Toluca TOL
51.1%
BetRivers
Draw
23.4%
FanDuel
Atlas ATL
25.5%
FanDuel
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers

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Toluca vs. Atlas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca -125, Atlas +300, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-144/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 51.1%
  • Atlas: 25.5%
  • Draw: 23.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Atlas, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atlas a win probability of 25.5%, while Toluca has a win probability of 51.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Atlas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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