NBA First Basket Predictions for Friday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Devin Booker [4/11/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert analysis on Friday's NBA first basket market.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely NBA first basket scorers for Friday have been revealed.

This Friday, April 11th, we have another big day of NBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Magic's matchup against the Pacers at 7:00PM ET.

After going over Friday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Friday's NBA games are expected to showcase big names such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Devin Booker and Ja Morant, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 11, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) 16.5%
Devin Booker (Suns) 16.2%
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) 16.0%
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers) 15.5%
Stephen Curry (Warriors) 15.2%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons) 15.2%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) 14.6%
Anthony Davis (Mavericks) 14.5%
Mark Williams (Hornets) 14.3%
Collin Sexton (Jazz) 14.2%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.5%.

Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Devin Booker at 16.2% and Ja Morant at 16.0%.

Giannis Antetokounmpo shooting a jumper.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Friday, April 11, 2025.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Friday, 4/11/2025]

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Caleb Houstan To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate in the game between the Magic and Pacers. The bet is on Caleb Houstan (ORL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8% according to our analysis.

Although Houstan doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Friday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming to gain an edge on the market.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

NBA Schedule for Today [4/11/2025]

For more betting guides, check out Friday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Friday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 11, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 11, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Friday, April 11, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee.

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Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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