Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
3
Apr 6, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Cruz Azul
Apr 6, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
C. Rotondi (29')
A. Montano (45')
C. Rotondi (61')
I. Pussetto (17')
A. Carrasquilla (pen.) (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPumas UNAMCruz AzulDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPumas UNAMCruz AzulHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
83'
Yellow Card
(UNAM Pumas) cautioned
81'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Carrasquilla (pen.)
2-3
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Montano
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Rivero replaces G. Giakoumakis
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Ergas replaces J. Ruvalcaba
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Avila replaces L. Suarez
72'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
G. Giakoumakis (Cruz Azul) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Vargas replaces C. Rotondi
63'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces I. Pussetto
62'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Funes Mori
62'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces S. Trigos
61'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by G. Fernandez
1-3
50'
Yellow Card
J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rodriguez replaces C. Jimenez
45'
Penalty missed by Nathan Silva for UNAM Pumas
45'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Montano
1-2
29'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi
1-1
17'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by I. Pussetto, assisted by P. Monroy
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
R. Funes Mori (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pumas UNAM +440, Cruz Azul -130, Draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+110/-132)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 19.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 55.0%
  • Draw: 25.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cruz Azul a win probability of 55.0%, while Pumas UNAM has a win probability of 19.7%. The chance of a draw is 25.4%.

Summary

Our Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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