Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Liga MX game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
3
Apr 6, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
Monterrey
Apr 6, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
R. de la Rosa (9')
G. Berterame (28')
N. Deossa (85')
R. Alvarado (51')
L. Romo (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraMonterreyDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraMonterreyHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Padilla (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
85'
Goal scored for Monterrey by N. Deossa
1-3
80'
Red Card
L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Cortizo replaces I. Fimbres
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rodriguez replaces G. Berterame
78'
Yellow Card
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Alvarado replaces O. Torres
68'
Yellow Card
(Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Pulido replaces Chicharito
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces C. Cowell
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces R. de la Rosa
53'
Yellow Card
N. Deossa (Monterrey) cautioned
51'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by L. Romo
1-2
48'
Yellow Card
G. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces V. Guzman
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces F. Beltran
28'
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by R. de la Rosa
0-2
9'
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. de la Rosa
0-1

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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +310, Monterrey +100, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-114)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 26.0%
  • Monterrey: 48.9%
  • Draw: 25.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Monterrey a win probability of 48.9%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 26.0%. The chance of a draw is 25.1%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Monterrey predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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