Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Santos Laguna
1
2
Apr 7, 12AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 7, 12AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Santos LagunaSAN
Paulinho (39')
M. Ruiz (45')
J. Guemez (67')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SAN
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySantos LagunaTolucaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySantos LagunaTolucaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Violante (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Luan replaces Paulinho
89'
Yellow Card
J. Guemez (Santos Laguna) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces J. Angulo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces A. Vega
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: F. Fagundez replaces A. Lopez
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: C. Lozano replaces F. Villalba
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
67'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by J. Guemez, assisted by J. Abella
1-2
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: S. Munoz replaces T. Jimenez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: D. Medina replaces J. Carrillo
55'
Yellow Card
J. Carrillo (Santos Laguna) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: I. Govea replaces J. Perez
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-2
39'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-1
12'
Yellow Card
E. Echeverria (Santos Laguna) cautioned

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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Santos Laguna vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Santos Laguna +2000, Toluca -800, Draw +850

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Santos Laguna: 5.7%
  • Toluca: 83.9%
  • Draw: 10.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Santos Laguna 0-3 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 83.9%, while Santos Laguna has a win probability of 5.7%. The chance of a draw is 10.4%.

Summary

Our Santos Laguna vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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