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Read Article Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs NY Islanders matchup.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:30PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the NY Islanders at UBS Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Tampa Bay-NY Islanders game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 59%, compared to 41% for the Islanders."
For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Islanders predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, Apr 1
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Lightning vs. Islanders Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+145) | +1.5 (-172) |
| Moneyline | -175 | +146 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lightning vs. Islanders Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Islanders matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Lightning-Islanders Pick Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Islanders Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Point an 8.1% chance of scoring the first goal at UBS Arena, while the Lightning star is a 38.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.1% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.0% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Palmieri | 5.7% |
| Bo Horvat | 5.4% |
| Anthony Duclair | 4.0% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 38.4% |
| Jake Guentzel | 37.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 34.3% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 27.8% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 27.4% |
| Anthony Duclair | 22.8% |
Lightning vs. Isles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's game between the Islanders and Lightning at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Tuesday, April 1, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Tuesday's Lightning vs. Islanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. NY Islanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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