Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Islanders NHL game on April 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
4
1
Apr 1, 11:30PM UBS Arena
Islanders
Apr 1, 11:30PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1214
Islanders
1001
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningIslandersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLightningIslandersP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6Under 6P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Lightning
1214
Islanders
1001
P3 19:44 Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 19:28 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:44 Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:03 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:44 Adam Pelech shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:43 Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:29 Goal scored by Nick Paul (Empty Net)
P3 16:19 Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:52 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 14:37 Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 09:53 Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 09:30 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:56 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 06:12 Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 05:19 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:40 Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:44
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 19:35
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 19:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 19:28
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:30
Nick Paul won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P3 18:30
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
P3 18:10
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
P3 18:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 18:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 17:56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 17:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 17:52
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 17:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:44
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:43
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 16:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:37
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
P3 16:29
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 16:29
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Paul (Empty Net)
4-1
P3 16:22
Giveaway by Adam Boqvist in offensive zone
P3 16:19
SHOT
Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 16:14
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 16:14
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 14:37
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 13:21
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P3 13:21
Penalty to Casey Cizikas 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Yanni Gourde)
P3 13:21
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 13:19
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 13:19
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 11:20
Giveaway by Adam Boqvist in neutral zone
P3 10:39
Giveaway by Hudson Fasching in neutral zone
P3 09:53
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 09:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:47
Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in neutral zone
P3 07:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 07:03
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P3 06:26
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
P3 06:26
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 06:12
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 05:21
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 05:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:34
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 04:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:15
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:59
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 03:59
Penalty to Pierre Engvall 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P3 02:44
Brayden Point credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
P3 02:12
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:22
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 01:22
Stoppage
P3 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 00:50
Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 00:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 00:48
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 00:28
Takeaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
P3 00:24
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 00:24
Penalty to Anders Lee 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Erik Cernak)
P3 00:00
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P2 19:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:39
Stoppage - Offside
P2 18:37
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 18:19
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P2 18:11
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 18:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:27
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 17:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 16:55
Mitchell Chaffee credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in neutral zone
P2 16:45
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 16:45
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 16:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 15:37
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
P2 15:36
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 14:45
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P2 14:45
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 14:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:46
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 13:37
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P2 13:35
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 13:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Maxim Tsyplakov
P2 12:49
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P2 12:15
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 12:15
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
P2 12:08
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P2 10:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 10:41
GOAL
Goal scored by Victor Hedman assisted by Nikita Kucherov
3-1
P2 09:33
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P2 09:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P2 09:00
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 08:36
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Hudson Fasching
P2 08:30
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P2 08:09
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 08:09
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
2-1
P2 08:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 07:44
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 07:44
Stoppage
P2 07:21
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P2 07:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:42
Power play - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 05:13
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 05:13
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
P2 05:12
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
P2 04:45
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 04:17
SHOT
Power play - Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 03:26
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 03:26
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Casey Cizikas)
P2 03:22
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P2 03:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:06
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 02:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:10
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Nick Perbix in neutral zone
P2 01:33
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P2 01:29
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 01:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:27
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Nick Paul
P2 01:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:07
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
P2 01:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 01:00
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:41
Giveaway by Adam Boqvist in defensive zone
P2 00:20
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 00:10
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:45
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 19:36
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 19:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:20
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P1 18:20
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 18:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 17:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 17:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 16:39
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 16:39
Giveaway by Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 16:35
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P1 16:13
Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 16:13
Penalty to Maxim Tsyplakov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
P1 15:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 14:46
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 14:46
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 14:46
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Tony DeAngelo)
P1 13:54
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Kyle Palmieri in defensive zone
P1 13:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P1 13:13
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 13:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P1 12:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 11:56
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 11:55
Maxim Tsyplakov credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P1 11:49
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P1 11:38
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 11:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:25
Nick Paul credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
P1 10:57
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 10:57
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
1-1
P1 10:56
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P1 10:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:06
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P1 09:38
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 09:07
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 09:07
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 09:07
Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
P1 08:46
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 08:46
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand
1-0
P1 08:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 07:45
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
P1 07:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:17
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 07:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P1 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:05
SHOT
Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 05:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P1 04:28
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 04:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:16
Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 04:16
Penalty to Kyle Palmieri 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 04:16
Penalty to Mitchell Chaffee 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 04:16
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P1 04:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P1 04:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 03:27
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P1 03:25
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P1 03:03
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 03:03
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 03:00
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P1 02:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:13
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P1 02:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 01:37
Giveaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
P1 01:28
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 01:28
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 01:18
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 01:18
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:06
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:03
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 01:03
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:20
Brayden Point won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
P1 00:20
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
 STATS
Islanders
24Shots on Goal29
44%Faceoff Win %56%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
14Hits25
21Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways16
LightningTB
IslandersNYI
24Shots on Goal29
44%Faceoff Win %56%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
14Hits25
21Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways16

Game Prediction Article

Nick Slade
Apr 1, 2025
Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/1/2025]
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Lightning vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Islanders
  • Date: Tuesday, April 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -169, Islanders +146

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 59%
  • Islanders: 41%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 59%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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