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Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, Odds, MLS Picks [3/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes matchup.
Sporting KC will face San Jose in MLS action at Children's Mercy Park in Kansas City, Kansas on Saturday, beginning at 8:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Sporting KC as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Sporting KC-San Jose game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction gives Sporting KC a 51.8% chance of winning, San Jose a 25.2% chance, and a 23.0% chance of a draw."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sporting KC vs. San Jose predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Sporting KC and San Jose 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 51.8% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 25.2% chance for San Jose, and a 23.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:03AM, Mar 2
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
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Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes Odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sporting KC | San Jose | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +240 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLS picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Sporting Kansas City-San Jose Earthquakes Pick Get Dimers Pro Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Correct Score Predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SKC 1-1 SJE | 10.6% |
| SKC 2-1 SJE | 9.7% |
| SKC 1-0 SJE | 8.8% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between Sporting KC and San Jose in MLS at Children's Mercy Park is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes
- Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Sporting KC vs. San Jose matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any San Jose vs. Sporting KC picks, be sure to check out the latest MLS predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 51.8% win probability on Saturday, San Jose has a 25.2% win probability, and there is a 23.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sporting KC vs. San Jose insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on MLS
Keep up with the latest MLS betting news, MLS best bets and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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