San Jose vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Sporting KC MLS game on March 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
San Jose
2
1
Mar 2, 1:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Mar 2, 1:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
D. Joveljic (pen.) (27')
C. Arango (3')
J. Martinez (19')
H. Lopez (52')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySan JoseSporting KCDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySan JoseSporting KCHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
80'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces C. Arango
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces Z. Bassong
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces E. Thommy
76'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Lima replaces B. Leroux
67'
Yellow Card
N. Radoja (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye replaces J. Martinez
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: L. Ndenbe replaces T. Leibold
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces J. Bartlett
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Brody replaces J. Davis
52'
Red Card
H. Lopez (San Jose Earthquakes) sent off for a second yellow card
45'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
H. Lopez (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic (pen.)
2-1
19'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez
2-0
16'
Yellow Card
J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
5'
Yellow Card
T. Leibold (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
3'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango
1-0

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San Jose vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: San Jose +280, Sporting KC +110, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • San Jose: 23.6%
  • Sporting KC: 53.9%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is San Jose 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 53.9%, while San Jose has a win probability of 23.6%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our San Jose vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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