UNC vs. San Diego State Prediction: North Carolina Predicted to Win March Madness First Four Matchup [3/18/2025]

San Diego State and UNC will meet in March Madness First Four action at UD Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:10PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects North Carolina as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness bracket projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's UNC-San Diego State game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows North Carolina with a win probability of 68%, compared to 32% for San Diego State."

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive UNC vs. San Diego State predictions page.

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UNC vs. San Diego State Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA Tournament game between UNC and San Diego State 10,000 times as part of our March Madness predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives North Carolina a 68% chance of beating San Diego State. Our predicted final score has North Carolina winning 72-68.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and North Carolina and San Diego State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 1:33AM, Mar 19

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

North Carolina

North Carolina -4.5

53%

47%

-110

-105

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San Diego State

North Carolina UNC

-110

North Carolina -4.5

53%

47%

See Matchup

San Diego State SDSU

-105

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UNC vs. San Diego State March Madness Odds

We have researched the best March Madness odds in America for this First Four game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your betting this month with the top March Madness betting sites and March Madness betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

UNC vs. San Diego State Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's UNC vs. San Diego State matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best March Madness picks and March Madness best bets for every game throughout the tournament.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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UNC vs. San Diego State Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's college basketball matchup between San Diego State and UNC at UD Arena is scheduled to start at 9:10PM ET.

• Who: North Carolina vs. San Diego State
• Date: Tuesday, March 18, 2025
• Time: 9:10PM ET/6:10PM PT
• Venue: UD Arena
• March Madness Stage: First Four

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's UNC vs. San Diego State matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any UNC vs. San Diego State picks, be sure to check out the latest March Madness predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict North Carolina, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat San Diego State on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina vs. San Diego State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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