NFL Betting Strategy: How to Bet on Week 7 - Davante Adams, Amari Cooper and Nick Chubb

Each week of the NFL season shapes the next more than in any other sport and with so much hype around the weekly NFL schedule, it can be hard to cut through the noise and find out just exactly how you should be betting on these key moments, if at all.

Aided by the power of Dimers Pro, we'll be looking at these storylines each week through the betting lens and how you can use our exclusive NFL data to turn a profit.

Get $100 Off Dimers Pro

Every data-backed insight featured in this article will be source directly from Dimers Pro, our all-encompassing subscription service. Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.

You can currently score $100 off an annual subscription with promo code SWISH100, which gets you five months free compared to the price of a monthly sub. Tap the banner below to subscribe and save, or learn more here.

Without further ado, let's dig into Week 7 of the NFL.  

Leaving Las Vegas - Davante Adams Joins the Jets

The Jets have dominated the headlines in consecutive weeks. Last week, it was because they fired HC Robert Saleh and this week it was completing a trade for WR Davante Adams from the Raiders, reuniting the star WR with his QB from Green Bay.

Miraculously, Davante Adams' hamstring injury healed upon arrival and the wideout is ready to go in Week 7.

The Jets' passing game has struggled this year, though Rodgers has been able to find his No. 1 WR Garrett Wilson to the tune of 8+ catches and 100+ yards in the past two weeks. Adams won't siphon off all Wilson's volume, and this writer speculates we'll see more Garrett Wilson underneath and across the middle while Adams becomes the big play guy opposite Allen Lazard.

If you've got Adams in fantasy, you should be firing him up as his upside is instantly elevated. From a betting perspective, here's what we're projecting for Adams in Week 7 on Sunday Night Football:

• Receiving yards: 54.0
• Anytime Touchdown: 30.7% (+225 fair odds)
• First Touchdown: 8.0% (+1150 fair odds)
• 2+ Touchdowns: 4.3% (+2225 fair odds)

🏈 New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Full Betting PreviewJets WR Davante Adams speaks with the media.

Coop, There it Is - Bills Get Their No. 1 WR

Speaking of familiar faces in new places...the Bills watched the futility of their passing game for six weeks and finally had enough.

They won the game against the Jets 23-20 and Josh Allen tossed for 215 yards and 2 TDs. That's a solid line on the surface, but those touchdowns were caught by Dawson Knox and Mack Hollins, their lone receptions, and their leading receiver was backup RB Ray Davis, courtesy of a 42 yard catch and run. That's simply not a sustainable passing attack.

They'll no longer need to, as they traded for Browns WR Amari Cooper a few hours after the Jets made their WR upgrade. Cooper still has some left in the tank and brings both a veteran presence and experienced playmaking ability to this WR room.

After a pair of sub-20 yard duds to open the year, Cooper has mustered 4+ catches in each game and 60+ yards twice, despite being stuck in the Browns putrid offense. He recorded 1,000 yards in four of his last five seasons and now gets the best QB he's ever had, though he clicked well with Dak in Dallas.

Cooper will immediately slot in as the No. 1 passing option and our model agrees, projecting the WR for 64 receiving yards and a 32.3% TD probability, nearly 10% higher than their next WR, Khalil Shakir. Our fair odds for a Cooper Anytime TD would be +210.

🏈 Week 7 NFL Predictions for Every Game

QB Mutiny in Pittsburgh - A Steelers Shakeup

Things are getting spicy in Steel City.

After jumping out to a 4-2 start with Justin Fields under center, Head Coach Mike Tomlin announced Russell Wilson was in line to start this week. He then slightly walked that back, saying Wilson was "in consideration" to start, though Wilson has been taking first team reps in practice and the books seem to think he'll get the nod.

It's an odd situation to change QBs when tied for first in your division, but the Steelers passing game has been stagnant and the defense is what's been carrying the team.

As it stands, Wilson looks like he'll start and here's how our model projects the core of this Steelers offense if that ends up the case:

Nick Chubb Makes His Long-Awaited Return

We wrote about this in greater detail yesterday, so dig in there for a bit more, but Browns RB Nick Chubb will return to the field for the first time since Week 2 of 2023, marking more  than 400 days since he last played football.

Browns Head Coach Kevin Stefanski has played coy about Chubb's workload, saying there's no specific set snap count for the returning RB, but at 1-5, they wouldn't risk his health if he weren't ready to go.

With the Browns' weak run game, Chubb should slide right into his No. 1 role, even if it takes a couple weeks for him to be a full workhorse.

Here's how we project Nick Chubb to perform in Week 7 vs. the Bengals, compared to the sportsbooks' posted lines and odds:

• 58 Projected Rushing Yards (No line available)
• 35.0% Anytime Touchdown Probability (+125 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
• 8.6% First Touchdown Probability (+700 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
• 5.7% 2+ Touchdown Probability (+900 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Predicting the Wide Open NFC North

Every team in the NFC North is 4-2 or better. The Vikings are 5-0 and coming off a bye week, the Lions are 4-1 while the Packers and Bears sit at 4-2.

The Bears have rattled off three straight wins and probably wish they weren't hitting their bye week. The Packers offense is a machine, while the Lions just lost their top playmaker on defense with Aidan Hutchinson out for the year.

Based on our current projections, here are the fair odds for these teams to win the NFC North:

• Lions +115
• Vikings +300
• Packers +515
• Bears +730

The Vikings come out underpriced according to our model, while the other three teams each get varying degrees of value, with the Packers and Bears presenting the best bang for your buck. With the division this tight, betting on either of them at those odds is worth a look.

Each team still has five or six division games left on the schedule, so these standings are about to get chaotic in the back half. We'd say jump on the value now.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season

• NFL Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 7 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• NFL Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.