Mets vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [3/29/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's New York Mets vs Houston Astros matchup.

New York Mets-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
Daikin Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Houston Astros this Saturday.

The Houston Astros will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Daikin Park on Saturday, beginning at 7:15PM ET.

The Astros will have Spencer Arrighetti (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Griffin Canning (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NY Mets-Houston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Astros are more likely to win, while the Mets have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Astros predictions page.

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Mets vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 56% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:27PM, Mar 29
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Mets NYM
Win %
45%
55%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Griffin Canning 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Spencer Arrighetti 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Astros Odds [3/29/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-196) -1.5 (+170)
Moneyline +105 -118
Total o9 (+100) u9 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mets vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Mets vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Astros and Mets at Daikin Park is scheduled to start at 7:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Mets vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Mets vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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