New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The Los Angeles Rams will face the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 16 action at SoFi Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for this week's Saints vs. Rams matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Saints vs. Rams Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Saints and Rams 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Rams a 65% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Rams winning 25-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Saints and Rams have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 45.5 points also has a 52% chance of going over.

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Saints vs. Rams Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Saints Rams
Spread +4 (+100) -4 (-110)
Moneyline +180 -210
Total o45.5 (-104) u45.5 (-112)
  • The Rams are currently -4 favorites against the Saints, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Saints (+4) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +100.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Rams at -210. That means you can risk $210 to win $100 for a total payout of $310 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at +180, where you can bet $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -104, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -112.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Saints vs. Rams Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Saints +4 +100
Moneyline Saints +180
Total Over 45.5 -104

While the Rams are more likely to win the game, taking the Saints moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on New Orleans vs. LA Rams to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Saints vs. Rams TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Rams?

According to our model, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is most likely to score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Rams.

Our projections give Williams a 14.6% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Rams RB is a 56.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player First TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 9.9%
Chris Olave 8.5%
Rashid Shaheed 7.2%
Juwan Johnson 4.5%
Jamaal Williams 3.6%

Los Angeles Rams

Player First TD Probability
Kyren Williams 14.6%
Cooper Kupp 10.3%
Puka Nacua 8.0%
Demarcus Robinson 5.5%
Tyler Higbee 4.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player Anytime TD Probability
Alvin Kamara 41.9%
Chris Olave 37.8%
Rashid Shaheed 31.8%
Juwan Johnson 20.1%
Jamaal Williams 18.8%

Los Angeles Rams

Player Anytime TD Probability
Kyren Williams 56.2%
Cooper Kupp 43.9%
Puka Nacua 35.9%
Demarcus Robinson 25.7%
Tyler Higbee 20.9%

Saints vs Rams Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Saints and Rams, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Saints vs. Rams Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 223 passing yards. The Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 253 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Derek Carr (NO) 223 yds
Matthew Stafford (LA) 253 yds

Saints Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Alvin Kamara 53 yds
Jamaal Williams 26 yds
Taysom Hill 16 yds

Rams Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Kyren Williams 91 yds
Royce Freeman 16 yds
Ronnie Rivers 9 yds

Saints Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Chris Olave 65 yds
Rashid Shaheed 40 yds
Alvin Kamara 34 yds
Lynn Bowden 27 yds
Juwan Johnson 24 yds

Rams Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Cooper Kupp 86 yds
Puka Nacua 65 yds
Kyren Williams 29 yds
Demarcus Robinson 28 yds
Tyler Higbee 27 yds

Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights ahead of the Saints vs. Rams on Thursday December 21, 2023.

Saints vs. Rams Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Rams and Saints at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:46AM, Dec 22
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Saints
Rams -4.0
50%
50%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Rams
Saints NO
Rams -4.0
50%
50%
See Matchup
Rams LA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Our full betting coverage of Saints vs. Rams includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Saints vs. Rams

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Saints vs. Rams Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Our picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Saints vs. Rams predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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