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NBA First Basket Predictions for Thursday Include Paolo Banchero, Giannis Antetokounmpo [4/3/2025]
Our expert analysis on Thursday's NBA first basket market.

This Thursday, April 3rd, we have another action-packed day of professional hoops ahead of us, headlined by the Bucks' matchup against the 76ers at 7:00PM ET.
After going over Thursday's NBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has projected to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Thursday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Thursday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Paolo Banchero, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Alex Sarr, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 3, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Paolo Banchero (Magic) | 16.1% |
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) | 16.0% |
Alex Sarr (Wizards) | 15.2% |
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) | 14.8% |
Quentin Grimes (76ers) | 14.2% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 13.7% |
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 13.5% |
Franz Wagner (Magic) | 13.5% |
RJ Barrett (Raptors) | 12.6% |
Tyler Herro (Heat) | 12.5% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Paolo Banchero, with a probability of 16.1%.
Following Banchero closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Giannis Antetokounmpo at 16.0% and Alex Sarr at 15.2%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Thursday, 4/3/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Thursday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Quentin Grimes To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 14.2%
- Matchup: Bucks vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Bucks and 76ers. The bet is on Quentin Grimes (PHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 5.1% according to our analysis.
Not only does Grimes present an edge according to the model, but him is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Thursday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/3/2025]
- Bucks vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Magic vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
- Warriors vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
For more betting guides, check out Thursday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Thursday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 3, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 3, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Thursday, April 3, have been generated thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
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