Apr 13, 2025
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Read Article Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 29 Points in Sunday's NBA Game [4/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors matchup.
The Golden State Warriors will face the Houston Rockets in NBA action at Chase Center on Sunday, starting at 8:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Houston-Golden State game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Warriors with a win probability of 67%, while the Rockets have 33%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Rockets will look to Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Warriors predictions page.
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Get Your First Month For the Price of 1 Week with Promo Code MARCH Get Dimers Pro Rockets vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Rockets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of beating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 115-110.
According to our model, the Rockets (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:39AM, Apr 7
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -198 |
| Total | o226.5 (-105) | u226.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Rockets vs. Warriors Player Props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Sunday's Houston vs. Golden State matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Jalen Green is expected to lead the Rockets with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game Get Dimers Pro Rockets vs. Warriors Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's matchup between the Warriors and Rockets at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Houston vs. Golden State picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NBA
Keep up with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the latest predictions for the NBA title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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