Jack Draper vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Indian Wells Open 2025

Jack Draper will face Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals at the ATP Indian Wells event on Saturday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Draper-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Carlos Alcaraz is more likely to win, while Jack Draper has a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Draper vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

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Draper vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Draper-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Alcaraz a 64% chance of beating Draper at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 60% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 3:09AM, Mar 15

Moneyline

1st Set

JackDraper

Win %

36%

64%

+240

-303

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CarlosAlcaraz

JackDraper

+240

Win %

36%

64%

See Matchup

CarlosAlcaraz

-303

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Jack Draper vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Draper vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in the Draper vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Draper vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Indian Wells Open match between Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 5:40PM ET.

• Who: Jack Draper vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:40PM ET/2:40PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Indian Wells, USA Men's Singles
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Draper vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jack Draper vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Jack Draper at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Draper vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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