Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Indian Wells Open 2025

Aryna Sabalenka will face Madison Keys in the semifinals at the WTA Indian Wells event on Friday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the match.

"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Sabalenka-Keys match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Aryna Sabalenka's chance of winning is 61%, while Madison Keys' is 39%."

For a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sabalenka vs. Keys predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20TENNIS at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Sabalenka vs. Keys Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Sabalenka-Keys women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Sabalenka a 61% chance of beating Keys at the WTA Indian Wells Open tournament.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 58% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sabalenka	Keys
Moneyline	-164	+130
First Set	-152	+120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Sabalenka vs. Keys Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sabalenka vs. Keys match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sabalenka vs. Keys Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Indian Wells Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys is scheduled to begin on Friday at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys
• Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Approx. Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Indian Wells, USA Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Sabalenka vs. Keys match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Sports Betting Deals Available for Friday

To make the most of Friday's big day of sports, headlined by a massive day and night of college basketball action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that unlocks the choice of two exceptional signup promotions. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Madison Keys at the WTA Indian Wells Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Keys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news, tennis best bets and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.