Texans vs. Vikings Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 3 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Houston Texans-Minnesota Vikings Predictions and Game Preview.
U.S. Bank Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Houston Texans and Minnesota Vikings this Sunday.

The Minnesota Vikings and Houston Texans are scheduled to meet in Week 3 of the NFL season at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Vikings game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 59%, while the Vikings have 41%."

Texans vs. Vikings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 game between the Vikings and Texans at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Texans vs. Vikings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Vikings vs. Texans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Texans vs. Vikings Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Texans and Vikings 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Texans a 59% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 23-21.

According to our model, the Texans (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

As well as the above Texans vs. Vikings predictions, we also have the following locked and loaded for today's action:

Texans vs. Vikings Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Texans Vikings
Spread -1.5 (-110) +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline -125 +114
Total o46.5 (-110) u46.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Vikings Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Vikings matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Vikings TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Vikings?

According to our model, Minnesota's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Vikings.

Our projections give Jones a 13.2% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Vikings RB is a 54.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player First TD Probability
Cam Akers 9.6%
Nico Collins 9.4%
Stefon Diggs 9.0%

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Aaron Jones 13.2%
Justin Jefferson 10.9%
Ty Chandler 7.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player Anytime TD Probability
Nico Collins 41.9%
Cam Akers 41.2%
Stefon Diggs 37.7%

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Aaron Jones 54.2%
Justin Jefferson 46.7%
Ty Chandler 33.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 3 touchdown scorer predictions

Texans vs Vikings Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Vikings. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Vikings page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Vikings Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Vikings' Sam Darnold.

Texans Rushing

Cam Akers, Dare Ogunbowale and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player Position
Cam Akers RB
Dare Ogunbowale RB
C.J. Stroud QB

Vikings Rushing

Aaron Jones, Ty Chandler and Sam Darnold are expected to lead the Vikings in rushing yards.

Player Position
Aaron Jones RB
Ty Chandler RB
Sam Darnold QB

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz and Cam Akers are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player Position
Nico Collins WR
Tank Dell WR
Stefon Diggs WR
Dalton Schultz TE
Cam Akers RB

Vikings Receiving

Justin Jefferson, Jalen Nailor, Johnny Mundt, Aaron Jones and Brandon Powell are projected to lead the Vikings in receiving yards.

Player Position
Justin Jefferson WR
Jalen Nailor WR
Johnny Mundt TE
Aaron Jones RB
Brandon Powell WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Vikings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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