Toluca vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Puebla Liga MX game on March 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
0
Mar 15, 3:05AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Mar 15, 3:05AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Gallardo (15')
Paulinho (57')
A. Vega (pen.) (62')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PBL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaPueblaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaPueblaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
87'
Yellow Card
J. Fedorco (Puebla) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces A. Vega
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces M. Ruiz
69'
Yellow Card
F. Romero (Toluca) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces H. Herrera
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Gallardo
62'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega (pen.)
3-0
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Romero replaces I. Lopez
57'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Gomez replaces J. R. Pachuca Martinez
34'
Yellow Card
L. Quinones (Puebla) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by A. Vega
1-0

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Toluca vs. Puebla: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca -154, Puebla +430, Draw +325
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+114)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 59.7%
  • Puebla: 19.2%
  • Draw: 21.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 2-1 Puebla, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Puebla a win probability of 19.2%, while Toluca has a win probability of 59.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.1%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Puebla predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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