Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Sunday's NBA Matchup [3/9/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Paycom Center on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Denver-Oklahoma City game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 71%, while the Nuggets have 29%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Nuggets will look to Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions page.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 71% chance of defeating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 123-117.

According to our model, the Nuggets (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 242 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 5:07PM, Mar 9

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Nuggets

Nuggets +7.5

54%

46%

-106

-110

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Thunder

Nuggets DEN

-106

Nuggets +7.5

54%

46%

See Matchup

Thunder OKC

-110

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our model's biggest edge in today's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Thunder and Nuggets at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denver vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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