Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on March 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
103
127
Mar 9, 5PM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 9, 5PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
29 31 23 20 103
Thunder
28 33 25 41 127
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggetsThunder1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggets +7.5Thunder -7.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 243Under 2431QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
29 31 23 20 103
Thunder
28 33 25 41 127
Q4 00:21 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:18
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 00:21
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
103-127
Q4 00:54
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 00:58
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-125
Q4 1:13
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 1:13
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Hunter Tyson, Vlatko Cancar, Jalen Pickett, Zeke Nnaji)
Q4 1:13
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 1:32
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 1:36
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-122
Q4 2:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:03
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-119
Q4 2:03
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-119
Q4 2:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
101-119
Q4 2:25
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 2:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
101-116
Q4 3:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-116
Q4 3:23
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 3:26
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-114
Q4 3:59
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:02
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q4 4:12
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 4:13
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-112
Q4 4:15
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q4 4:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:22
Nuggets turnover
Q4 4:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-109
Q4 4:55
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:55
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-107
Q4 4:55
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 4:55
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 4:55
Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 4:55
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 5:02
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 5:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-107
Q4 5:27
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q4 5:29
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
96-107
Q4 6:01
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 6:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
96-105
Q4 6:28
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 6:43
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
96-103
Q4 6:43
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 6:43
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 6:48
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:48
Alex Caruso turnover
Q4 7:02
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:02
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 7:02
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 7:12
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
93-103
Q4 7:28
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 7:28
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-102
Q4 7:28
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-103
Q4 7:33
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 7:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:50
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:50
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 7:50
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 7:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-101
Q4 8:06
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 8:09
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:19
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q4 8:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:29
Jump ball. Chet Holmgren (Russell Westbrook gains possession)
Q4 8:33
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q4 8:35
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-98
Q4 8:50
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 8:50
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 8:50
+1
Jalen Williams makes technical free throw 1 of 1
91-99
Q4 8:56
Nuggets turnover
Q4 9:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 9:06
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-95
Q4 9:06
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Q4 9:06
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-96
Q4 9:06
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
Q4 9:18
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
91-94
Q4 9:32
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 9:32
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-93
Q4 9:32
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-94
Q4 9:35
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 9:38
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:41
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q4 9:44
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-92
Q4 10:12
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-89
Q4 10:21
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:30
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:32
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 10:32
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 10:32
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 10:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-89
Q4 10:53
Nuggets turnover
Q4 10:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:18
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 11:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
85-86
Q3 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Jalen Pickett, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
Q3 00:04
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 00:04
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:04
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q3 00:04
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q3 00:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:28
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
83-86
Q3 00:29
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 00:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 00:56
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 00:56
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 00:56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-85
Q3 00:56
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q3 00:56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-86
Q3 00:59
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:04
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:06
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:16
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 1:17
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:29
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 1:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:39
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 1:43
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:00
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 2:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:13
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 2:17
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:26
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q3 2:26
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:28
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-84
Q3 2:53
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 2:54
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 2:54
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:54
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 2:54
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 2:54
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 3:16
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:16
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 3:17
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-84
Q3 3:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-84
Q3 3:43
Nuggets turnover
Q3 3:47
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 3:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
76-82
Q3 4:17
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q3 4:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
73-82
Q3 4:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:44
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:44
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q3 4:44
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 4:47
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 4:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:58
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 5:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-82
Q3 5:37
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
71-80
Q3 5:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-80
Q3 5:59
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 6:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:07
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:14
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 6:14
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-77
Q3 6:14
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-78
Q3 6:14
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q3 6:27
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
69-76
Q3 6:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-76
Q3 6:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q3 6:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:53
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 6:57
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:11
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 7:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 7:21
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:26
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 7:29
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:44
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 7:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:01
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
66-74
Q3 8:15
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 8:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:25
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 8:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:25
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 8:25
Instant replay
Q3 8:30
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 8:33
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:47
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 8:47
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-73
Q3 8:47
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-74
Q3 8:50
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 8:55
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-71
Q3 9:13
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 9:13
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 9:13
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-72
Q3 9:22
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 9:26
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-68
Q3 9:38
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 9:38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-69
Q3 9:47
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 9:47
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-66
Q3 9:52
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:56
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 9:58
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:10
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
62-66
Q3 10:25
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 10:27
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-66
Q3 10:27
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:27
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 10:39
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 10:46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-65
Q3 11:10
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 11:10
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 11:12
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:18
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 11:20
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-63
Q3 11:48
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 11:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 00:13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 00:16
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:29
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
60-61
Q2 00:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-60
Q2 00:57
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 00:57
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-61
Q2 00:58
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 1:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:05
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 1:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:19
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
58-58
Q2 1:23
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 1:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:44
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
55-58
Q2 2:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-58
Q2 2:16
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 2:18
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q2 2:18
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:18
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-56
Q2 2:18
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:37
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 2:38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
51-56
Q2 2:38
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:38
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 2:38
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q2 2:38
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 2:40
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 2:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
49-56
Q2 3:07
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q2 3:09
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-56
Q2 3:24
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 3:36
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q2 3:36
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 3:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:03
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:03
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 4:03
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 4:03
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-54
Q2 4:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-54
Q2 4:17
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 4:17
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Q2 4:17
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 4:23
Nuggets turnover
Q2 4:36
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-52
Q2 4:46
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
46-49
Q2 5:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-49
Q2 5:28
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
43-46
Q2 5:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
40-46
Q2 5:50
Nuggets turnover
Q2 5:50
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 6:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-43
Q2 6:20
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 6:22
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:27
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 6:29
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:51
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 6:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:59
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 7:04
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:15
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q2 7:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:17
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q2 7:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:36
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-41
Q2 7:43
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:43
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 7:43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:43
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 7:43
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q2 7:53
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:00
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 8:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-40
Q2 8:16
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 8:16
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 8:16
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
Q2 8:16
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Q2 8:16
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 1
38-41
Q2 8:21
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 8:22
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-38
Q2 8:54
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 8:54
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
38-36
Q2 8:59
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:02
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:07
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 9:10
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:15
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q2 9:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:29
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q2 9:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:38
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:38
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-36
Q2 9:38
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-36
Q2 9:42
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 9:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
34-36
Q2 10:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 10:06
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-35
Q2 10:06
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-36
Q2 10:10
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 10:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-34
Q2 10:32
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 10:33
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:33
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-32
Q2 10:33
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
Q2 10:33
Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 10:40
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:50
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-32
Q2 11:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-32
Q2 11:20
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 11:23
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-30
Q2 11:37
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q2 11:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-28
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Q1 00:13
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 00:17
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:17
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:17
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:22
Nuggets turnover
Q1 00:22
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 00:22
Instant replay
Q1 00:22
Nuggets challenge timeout
Q1 00:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:22
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:22
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:22
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:23
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q1 00:31
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 00:44
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:54
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-24
Q1 00:54
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 00:54
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-25
Q1 00:58
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
29-23
Q1 00:58
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q1 00:59
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:06
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q1 1:10
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:19
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 1:21
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-23
Q1 1:46
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:46
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-20
Q1 1:46
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-20
Q1 1:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-20
Q1 2:08
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:08
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:08
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 2:08
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q1 2:08
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-18
Q1 2:08
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 2:17
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q1 2:19
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
24-18
Q1 2:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-18
Q1 3:18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
22-16
Q1 3:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-16
Q1 3:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
20-14
Q1 4:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-14
Q1 4:35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-12
Q1 4:38
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 4:42
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:57
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 4:57
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 5:01
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 5:01
Thunder personal foul
Q1 5:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:16
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 5:16
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Nikola Jokic)
Q1 5:16
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 5:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-12
Q1 5:24
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 5:28
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:36
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 5:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:43
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 5:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
16-10
Q1 6:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-10
Q1 6:13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 6:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:22
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 6:26
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-8
Q1 6:49
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 6:51
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
14-6
Q1 7:14
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 7:23
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:36
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:37
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q1 7:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:49
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 7:49
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
14-3
Q1 7:59
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q1 8:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:24
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 8:25
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-3
Q1 8:25
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q1 8:25
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:25
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 8:27
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:44
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 8:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:53
Nuggets turnover
Q1 8:56
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 8:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:02
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 9:05
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-3
Q1 9:35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
10-0
Q1 9:38
Thunder turnover
Q1 9:52
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
8-0
Q1 10:01
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 10:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
5-0
Q1 10:30
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:37
Jump ball. (Nuggets gains possession)
Q1 10:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:37
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:57
Thunder turnover
Q1 11:14
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
3-0
Q1 11:22
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 11:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:36
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 11:39
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 12:00
(Jamal Murray gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Nuggets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F31V. Cancar000
F-C22Z. Nnaji310
F21S. Jones000
F5H. Tyson000
G24J. Pickett712
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G-F34K. Williams000
F13O. Dieng000
F6J. Williams951
G21A. Wiggins471
G11I. Joe502

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 242
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +270, Thunder -286

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 29%
  • Thunder: 71%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 117-123 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 29%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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