Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [12/4/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid matchup.

Athletic Bilbao-Real Madrid Predictions and Game Preview.
San Mamés Barria sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid this Wednesday.

Athletic Bilbao will face Real Madrid in La Liga action at San Mamés Barria on Wednesday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Athletic Bilbao-Real Madrid game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Athletic Bilbao a 32.9% chance of winning, Real Madrid a 40.8% chance, and a 26.3% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid predictions page.

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's La Liga matchup between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid at San Mamés Barria is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 32.9% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 40.8% chance for Real Madrid, and a 26.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:17PM, Dec 4
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
Real Madrid RMA
41.7%
Caesars
Draw
26.2%
FanDuel
Athletic Bilbao BIL
32.1%
BetRivers
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid Draw
+230 +120 +240

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-116 -106

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid: Correct Score Prediction

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ATB 1-1 MAD 12.5%
ATB 0-1 MAD 10.3%
ATB 1-0 MAD 9%

These scorelines are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 32.9% win probability on Wednesday, Real Madrid has a 40.8% win probability, and there is a 26.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on La Liga

Keep up with the latest La Liga betting news, La Liga best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the most accurate predictions for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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