Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on December 4, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
2
Dec 4, 8PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Dec 4, 8PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Berenguer (53')
G. Guruzeta (80')
J. Bellingham (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces Rodrygo
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces Lucas
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces A. Boiro
80'
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta
1-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces O. Sancet
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. de Marcos replaces A. Gorosabel
78'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham
1-1
74'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
Lucas (Real Madrid) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces A. Tchouameni
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mendy replaces F. Garcia
70'
Yellow Card
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
68'
Penalty missed by K. Mbappe for Real Madrid
67'
Yellow Card
J. Agirrezabala (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces A. Berenguer
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces B. Prados Diaz
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces D. Ceballos
53'
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer
0-1

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Athletic Bilbao +230, Real Madrid +125, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-106)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 32.1%
  • Real Madrid: 41.7%
  • Draw: 26.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Athletic Bilbao a win probability of 32.1%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 41.7%. The chance of a draw is 26.2%.

Summary

Our Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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