Analysts Relase New Australian Open Predictions After Eye-Catching Ben Shelton Development

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Written by Mac Douglass
Reviewed by Nick Slade
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Ben Shelton vs. Gael Monfils Australian Open Match.
Ben Shelton faces Gael Monfils in a thrilling fourth-round clash at the 2025 Australian Open.

The Australian Open's fourth-round match between Ben Shelton and Gael Monfils has generated significant buzz, especially following new updates on Sunday. The matchup, scheduled for Monday, January 20, pits a rising star against a seasoned veteran in what promises to be a compelling clash of styles and generations.

Ben Shelton has been in scintillating form this Australian Open, rebounding from a difficult end to the 2024 season. He defeated the No. 13 seed Lorenzo Musetti in the third round, a victory that underscored his resurgence.

Ben Shelton has one of the biggest serves on the ATP tour.

Meanwhile, 38-year-old Gael Monfils has proven age is just a number. His third-round triumph over Taylor Fritz reminded fans why he's one of the sport's most enduring entertainers.

While Shelton enters the match as the favorite with a moneyline of -164 and a win probability of 59%, Monfils is no stranger to pulling off upsets, as demonstrated by his performance against Fritz.


Shelton-Monfils Odds Update:

On Sunday, Bet365 updated their boosted parlays for Shelton vs. Monfils, further elevating interest in the betting community. These parlays include enticing scenarios that reflect both players' strengths and the likelihood of a competitive match. The boosted odds are as follows:

  1. Parlay 1 (+450):

    • Over 9.5 Games in Set 2
    • Ben Shelton Will Win the Match
    • Over 9.5 Games in Set 1
    • 10+ Aces for Ben Shelton
  2. Parlay 2 (+450):

    • Gael Monfils Will Win the Match
    • Over 42.5 Games
    • 10+ Aces for Gael Monfils
  3. Parlay 3 (+300):

    • Gael Monfils Will Win a Set
    • Ben Shelton Will Win a Set
    • 25+ Match Aces
    • Over 1.5 Tiebreaks

These boosts not only add excitement for bettors, who are also gravitating towards Bet365's current $150 bonus bet offer, but provide a lens into how the match may unfold. Expect high-quality serving and tight sets as both players look to outmaneuver each other.

Updated 2025 Australian Open Men's Championship Predictions:

These are our updated 2025 Australian Open predictions.

The boosted parlays aren't the only update influencing the tournament narrative. Our analysts conducted new simulations this morning for the 2025 Australian Open winner:

  • Jannik Sinner leads the way with a commanding 54.8% chance to win the title, far ahead of Novak Djokovic (15.3%) and Alexander Zverev (12.3%).
  • Ben Shelton's win percentage stands at just 1.0%, but a strong showing against Monfils could significantly bolster his position as a dark horse.

These projections suggest a tournament increasingly leaning toward Sinner, though Shelton's youthful energy and Monfils' veteran craft could still shake things up.

Our Match Projections:

Using updated simulations, our analysts have released the following key predictions for Shelton vs. Monfils:

  • Match Winner: Ben Shelton, with a 58.7% probability.
  • First Set Winner: Shelton remains favored at -139 for the opening set, while Monfils is a narrow underdog at +110.
  • Match Style: Expect dominant serving, and the potential for tiebreaks as these two competitors clash for a place in the quarterfinals.

As the tennis world turns its attention to this intriguing fourth-round match, all eyes will be on Shelton and Monfils to see who emerges victorious. With boosted odds and updated predictions, the Australian Open continues to deliver drama both on and off the court.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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