Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Heat NBA game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Bucks
121
115
Apr 6, 12AM Kaseya Center
Heat
Apr 6, 12AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234OTT
Bucks
 22 35 24 30 10121
Heat
 30 27 31 23 4115
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
BucksMIL
Win %
>99%
<1%
HeatMIA
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBucksHeat1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBucks -1Heat +11QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 209.5Under 209.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234OTT
Bucks
 22 35 24 30 10121
Heat
 30 27 31 23 4115
OT1 00:00 Heat misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:04 Bucks makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:10 Bucks makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:34 Heat misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:47 Bucks misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:06 Heat misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:36 Bucks makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:33 Bucks makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:39 Bucks misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:05 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
OT1 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
OT1 00:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:02
Bucks personal foul
OT1 00:02
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 00:02
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:02
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
OT1 00:04
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
121-115
OT1 00:04
Heat 60 second timeout
OT1 00:04
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:04
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 00:04
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 00:04
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:09
Heat turnover
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:09
Bucks 60 second timeout
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
OT1 00:09
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:09
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
OT1 00:09
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
OT1 00:09
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:09
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
OT1 00:09
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 00:10
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
119-115
OT1 00:10
Heat 60 second timeout
OT1 00:32
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
OT1 00:34
Heat misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:44
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
OT1 00:47
Bucks misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:03
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
OT1 1:06
Heat misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:06
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
OT1 1:20
Bucks violation
OT1 1:36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
117-115
OT1 1:37
Heat turnover
OT1 1:54
Bucks turnover
OT1 1:57
Bucks personal foul
OT1 1:57
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
OT1 1:57
Instant replay
OT1 1:57
Bucks 60 second timeout
OT1 1:57
Davion Mitchell turnover
OT1 1:57
Davion Mitchell personal foul
OT1 2:16
Heat turnover
OT1 2:33
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
115-115
OT1 2:35
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
OT1 2:39
Bucks misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:53
Heat personal foul
OT1 3:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-115
OT1 3:28
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
113-113
OT1 3:53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
111-113
OT1 3:56
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
OT1 3:59
Bucks misses two point jump shot
OT1 4:13
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
OT1 4:16
Heat misses three point jump shot
OT1 4:23
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
OT1 4:26
Bucks misses two point jump shot
OT1 4:32
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
OT1 4:35
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 00:00
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 00:00
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 00:00
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
OT1 5:00
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
OT1 5:00
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
OT1 5:00
(Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Q4 00:03
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:16
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 00:20
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
111-111
Q4 00:53
Bucks personal foul
Q4 00:53
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-110
Q4 00:53
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-111
Q4 1:04
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
109-109
Q4 1:06
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q4 1:11
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q4 1:25
Heat personal foul
Q4 1:25
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 1 of 3
106-109
Q4 1:25
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 3
107-109
Q4 1:25
AJ Green misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Q4 1:43
Bucks personal foul
Q4 1:43
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-108
Q4 1:43
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q4 2:07
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q4 2:08
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
105-107
Q4 2:13
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:19
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:34
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
102-107
Q4 2:46
Bucks personal foul
Q4 2:46
Heat personal foul
Q4 3:04
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
100-107
Q4 3:19
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 3:24
Heat personal foul
Q4 3:24
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-104
Q4 3:24
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-104
Q4 3:36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-104
Q4 3:51
Heat personal foul
Q4 3:51
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-102
Q4 3:51
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-102
Q4 4:04
Heat turnover
Q4 4:16
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q4 4:19
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:33
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 4:33
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 4:33
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
Q4 4:34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-102
Q4 4:53
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Q4 4:56
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:09
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
96-100
Q4 5:21
Bucks personal foul
Q4 5:21
Brook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:37
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 5:37
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, AJ Green, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 5:37
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
Q4 5:37
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, AJ Green, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 5:37
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Q4 5:39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-97
Q4 5:41
Alec Burks offensive rebound
Q4 5:44
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:04
Bucks turnover
Q4 6:12
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 6:17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:39
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q4 6:43
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:57
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q4 6:57
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:57
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q4 6:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:02
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:25
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
96-95
Q4 7:31
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q4 7:34
Bucks personal foul
Q4 7:34
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-95
Q4 7:34
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Pelle Larsson)
Q4 7:34
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 7:34
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 7:50
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
94-94
Q4 8:06
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 8:09
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:13
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 8:17
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:35
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-94
Q4 8:40
Bucks turnover
Q4 8:47
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 8:51
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:09
Bucks personal foul
Q4 9:09
Heat personal foul
Q4 9:09
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-92
Q4 9:09
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-92
Q4 9:12
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 9:15
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:41
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
90-92
Q4 10:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-92
Q4 10:19
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
88-90
Q4 10:19
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 10:23
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:26
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:40
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
86-90
Q4 10:58
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
Q4 10:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-90
Q4 11:04
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:21
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
83-88
Q4 11:27
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 11:32
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:35
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:35
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 11:35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:45
Bucks personal foul
Q3 00:00
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 00:03
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:08
Bucks personal foul
Q3 00:28
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
80-88
Q3 00:28
Heat personal foul
Q3 00:28
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-88
Q3 00:30
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 00:36
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:42
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 00:43
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:01
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-88
Q3 1:08
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q3 1:11
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:11
Bucks lineup change (Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 1:23
Heat personal foul
Q3 1:29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-86
Q3 1:38
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Q3 1:43
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Duncan Robinson)
Q3 1:43
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:47
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 1:47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:47
Bucks lineup change (Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 1:47
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson)
Q3 1:49
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:03
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-84
Q3 2:20
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
78-82
Q3 2:28
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q3 2:31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:49
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q3 2:52
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:01
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 3:03
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:17
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Q3 3:20
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
78-82
Q3 3:20
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:37
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-82
Q3 3:52
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
76-79
Q3 3:52
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Q3 4:05
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
Q3 4:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
74-79
Q3 4:05
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 4:07
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:11
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q3 4:13
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:24
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q3 4:28
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:31
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 4:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:31
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
Q3 4:31
Bucks lineup change (Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 4:42
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:57
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:57
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 5:03
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 5:05
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:21
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
74-77
Q3 5:39
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
74-74
Q3 5:44
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 5:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:47
Kyle Anderson misses two point tip layup
Q3 5:47
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 6:02
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
72-74
Q3 6:18
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-74
Q3 6:33
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
70-71
Q3 6:38
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q3 6:41
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:55
Heat defensive rebound
Q3 6:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 6:55
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 6:56
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-71
Q3 7:30
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q3 7:33
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-69
Q3 7:47
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Q3 7:50
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:50
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 8:04
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 8:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:07
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:16
Bucks personal foul
Q3 8:16
Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 8:24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-67
Q3 8:41
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
68-64
Q3 9:01
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-64
Q3 9:20
Heat personal foul
Q3 9:20
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-61
Q3 9:20
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-61
Q3 9:20
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q3 9:31
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q3 9:35
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:48
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 9:52
Heat personal foul
Q3 9:52
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-61
Q3 9:52
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 10:08
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
63-61
Q3 10:09
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q3 10:14
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:39
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
63-59
Q3 10:48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-59
Q3 11:00
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
61-57
Q3 11:12
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 11:14
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:39
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
59-57
Q2 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma)
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q2 00:02
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
57-57
Q2 00:06
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
57-54
Q2 00:18
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 00:23
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:34
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 00:38
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:55
Bucks personal foul
Q2 00:55
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-53
Q2 00:55
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-54
Q2 00:58
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
54-52
Q2 00:58
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q2 1:13
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 1:17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:17
Bucks lineup change (Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 1:35
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 1:35
Bucks personal foul
Q2 1:37
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-52
Q2 2:10
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 2:12
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:12
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
Q2 2:30
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 2:40
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-50
Q2 2:45
Bucks turnover
Q2 2:52
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 2:55
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:02
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:17
Bucks personal foul
Q2 3:17
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:17
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 3:17
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 3:17
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-48
Q2 3:26
Heat personal foul
Q2 3:26
+1
Taurean Prince makes regular free throw 1 of 3
50-47
Q2 3:26
+1
Taurean Prince makes regular free throw 2 of 3
51-47
Q2 3:26
+1
Taurean Prince makes regular free throw 3 of 3
52-47
Q2 3:26
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q2 3:43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-47
Q2 3:58
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
49-45
Q2 4:14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-45
Q2 4:25
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Q2 4:29
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-43
Q2 4:54
Heat personal foul
Q2 4:54
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-40
Q2 4:54
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-40
Q2 4:54
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 5:01
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q2 5:04
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:13
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
45-40
Q2 5:22
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q2 5:26
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:33
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-40
Q2 6:07
Heat personal foul
Q2 6:07
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-38
Q2 6:07
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, AJ Green, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 6:07
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q2 6:07
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-38
Q2 6:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-38
Q2 6:35
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
41-36
Q2 6:59
Heat turnover
Q2 6:59
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 7:09
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
38-36
Q2 7:17
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:20
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:36
Heat personal foul
Q2 7:36
Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q2 7:36
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 7:36
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
35-36
Q2 7:36
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q2 7:36
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q2 7:36
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
36-36
Q2 7:40
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:46
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Q2 7:49
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:05
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:05
Bucks personal foul
Q2 8:05
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 8:05
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-35
Q2 8:05
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-36
Q2 8:26
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
34-34
Q2 8:44
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-34
Q2 8:58
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q2 9:00
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
31-32
Q2 9:00
Heat personal foul
Q2 9:00
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 9:05
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Q2 9:08
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:27
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
29-32
Q2 9:46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q2 10:08
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-30
Q2 10:11
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q2 10:12
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Q2 10:12
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:19
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:24
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q2 10:27
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:33
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:38
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:56
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 10:58
Heat personal foul
Q2 10:58
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-30
Q2 10:58
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 10:58
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Terry Rozier)
Q2 11:08
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Q2 11:12
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:40
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
24-30
Q1 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Pat Connaughton, Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 12:00
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Terry Rozier, Pelle Larsson)
Q1 00:06
Heat turnover
Q1 00:26
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q1 00:29
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:38
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
22-30
Q1 00:39
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Q1 00:43
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:56
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Q1 00:58
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:11
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Q1 1:14
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:18
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Q1 1:20
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:23
Andre Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 1:26
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:34
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Q1 1:34
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point jump shot
22-27
Q1 1:40
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:02
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
22-25
Q1 2:24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-25
Q1 2:32
Bucks turnover
Q1 2:32
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Pelle Larsson)
Q1 2:49
Heat personal foul
Q1 2:49
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:52
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:52
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 2:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:09
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
19-23
Q1 3:22
Bucks personal foul
Q1 3:22
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q1 3:22
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson, Kel'el Ware)
Q1 3:22
Bucks lineup change (Andre Jackson Jr., Gary Trent Jr., AJ Green, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 3:22
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-22
Q1 3:22
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-23
Q1 3:35
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Q1 3:39
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:43
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q1 3:46
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:54
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-21
Q1 4:17
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 4:21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:26
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 4:30
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:30
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 4:30
Kyle Kuzma misses two point tip layup
Q1 4:45
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q1 4:48
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:49
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 4:54
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:05
Bucks personal foul
Q1 5:05
Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 5:10
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:10
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
17-19
Q1 5:35
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
17-16
Q1 5:52
Bucks personal foul
Q1 5:52
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-15
Q1 5:52
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 5:52
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson)
Q1 5:52
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-16
Q1 6:05
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
15-14
Q1 6:26
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-14
Q1 6:38
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
13-11
Q1 6:44
Heat personal foul
Q1 6:47
Heat turnover
Q1 6:54
Bucks personal foul
Q1 6:54
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 6:54
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q1 7:01
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 7:06
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:29
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
11-11
Q1 7:36
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
11-8
Q1 7:49
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 7:51
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:03
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 8:06
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-8
Q1 8:39
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
8-5
Q1 8:43
Heat turnover
Q1 8:47
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 8:50
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:56
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 9:01
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:12
Bucks personal foul
Q1 9:23
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
6-5
Q1 9:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-5
Q1 9:59
Heat violation
Q1 9:59
Kyle Kuzma turnover (kicked ball violation)
Q1 10:13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-2
Q1 10:13
Kyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball)
Q1 10:25
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Q1 10:28
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:45
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q1 10:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:48
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q1 10:52
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:06
Heat personal foul
Q1 11:06
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 11:06
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 11:06
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-0
Q1 11:12
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 11:14
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:34
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:41
Heat turnover
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Duncan Robinson)
Q1 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Brook Lopez, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 12:00
(Pelle Larsson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Bucks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G12T. Prince952
G20A. Green1032
G-F3K. Porter Jr.24128
F34G. Antetokounmpo361510
F18K. Kuzma922
Heat
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G45D. Mitchell2025
F-G20K. Anderson12143
F55D. Robinson1623
G18A. Burks2452
F13B. Adebayo31125

Game Prediction Article

Dave Garofolo
Apr 5, 2025
Bucks vs. Heat Prediction: Miami to Win, Giannis Antetokounmpo Projected for Big Game in Saturday's NBA Matchup [4/5/2025]
Read Article

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Bucks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Heat
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -1
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks +100, Heat -112

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 49%
  • Heat: 51%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 105-105 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 49%, while the Heat have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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