The Women's Tournament: Our Ultimate Data Bracket

This is Dimers' most accurate women's bracket, built with advanced simulations that analyze every matchup to maximize your chances of winning your March Madness pool in 2025. By balancing favorites and key upsets, this bracket is designed to give you the best shot at coming out on top.

Often overshadowed by its male counterpart, the NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament has exploded in popularity in recent years thanks to the emergence of superstar talents Candice Wiggins, Breanna Stewart, and Caitlin Clark, to name just a few. Their accomplishments on the court have been pivotal to the push for equality: as of 2022, the women's bracket now features the same number of entries (68) as the men's. It's about time.

At Dimers, data is king — we build industry-leading simulation models and track advanced statistics across a wide range of categories, no matter the sport. No matter the participants.

Dimers is proud to offer our Ultimate Data Bracket for both the women's and men's tournaments this year.

The NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament is a chaotic, 19-day affair in which anything can happen. Ironically though, the "Cinderella Story" occurs far more often in the men's bracket; since 1994, when the women's tournament expanded to a 64-team field, no team lower than the 3-seed has ever been crowned champion. Perhaps there's less "madness" when it comes to the women? (50% of our readers are silently nodding right now.)

Dimers has compiled a snapshot below of the historical records of each seed in the women's bracket over the last 30+ years to help illuminate this trend:

• No. 1 Seed: 459-97 overall record, 23-time champions
• No. 2 Seed: 318-116 overall record, 4-time champions
• No. 3 Seed: 263-117 overall record, 3-time champions
• No. 4 Seed: 213-120 overall record, runner-up once
• No. 5 Seed: 141-120 overall record, runner-up once
• No. 6 Seed: 123-120 overall record, Final Four appearance
• No. 7 Seed: 103-120 overall record, reached Final Four twice
• No. 8 Seed: 63-120 overall record, reached Sweet 16 once
• No. 9 Seed: 66-120 overall record, Final Four appearance 
• No. 10 Seed: 48-120 overall record, Elite Eight appearance
• No. 11 Seed: 51-120 overall record, Elite Eight appearance
• No. 12 Seed: 31-120 overall record, reached Sweet 16 twice
• No. 13 Seed: 10-120 overall record, reached Sweet 16 three times
• No. 14 Seed: 0-120 overall record, best finish in the first round
• No. 15 Seed: 0-120 overall record, best finish in the first round
• No. 16 Seed: 1-120 overall record, reached the second round once

When hunting for upsets in the women's bracket, choose wisely!

At Dimers, we’re dedicated to delivering reliable sports predictions powered by cutting-edge tech and data-driven insights. Our team of data scientists and machine learning pros has built proprietary models that tap into the latest advancements in AI, machine learning, and simulation techniques to break down every game with precision.

We start with collecting massive amounts of data—from historical stats to live, in-game updates at both the team and player level. Some of this data comes from external sources, while other key metrics we track ourselves. We then apply advanced statistical analysis to uncover patterns, pinpoint critical variables, and refine our predictive models.

Our models process thousands of data points and weigh every possible factor—team and player performance, weather, starting lineups, home vs. away trends, projected minutes, and more. The result? Data-backed insights that help you make sharper picks with confidence.