Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA game on April 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
117
115
Apr 26, 7:30PM FedExForum
Grizzlies
Apr 26, 7:30PM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
 34 26 28 29 117
Grizzlies
 31 28 26 29 115
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
98%
2%
GrizzliesMEM
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunderGrizzlies1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunder -15.5Grizzlies +15.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 224Under 2241QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Thunder
 34 26 28 29 117
Grizzlies
 31 28 26 29 115
Q4 00:08 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:00
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-115
Q4 00:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q4 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 00:00
Desmond Bane misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 00:00
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:04
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:06
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 00:06
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:06
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 00:06
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 00:06
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., John Konchar, Jay Huff)
Q4 00:06
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-114
Q4 00:06
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 00:06
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 00:06
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q4 00:07
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:07
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Lamar Stevens, John Konchar, Jay Huff)
Q4 00:07
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 00:08
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-114
Q4 00:11
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 00:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
116-111
Q4 00:11
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q4 00:11
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 00:35
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
114-111
Q4 00:49
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 00:49
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 00:49
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-108
Q4 00:49
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-108
Q4 00:51
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:01
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 1:01
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 1:01
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-108
Q4 1:01
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q4 1:01
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-108
Q4 1:08
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 1:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
110-108
Q4 1:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
110-106
Q4 1:53
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
108-106
Q4 1:59
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:16
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:16
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-102
Q4 2:16
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-103
Q4 2:19
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:48
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
108-101
Q4 2:59
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q4 3:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:14
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:14
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-97
Q4 3:14
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-98
Q4 3:25
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:25
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 3:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
108-96
Q4 3:57
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
105-96
Q4 4:12
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 4:12
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 4:12
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-94
Q4 4:12
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 4:12
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q4 4:12
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:12
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 4:12
Instant replay
Q4 4:12
Zach Edey turnover
Q4 4:12
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-94
Q4 4:12
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q4 4:12
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-94
Q4 4:13
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:14
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 4:17
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:17
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 4:20
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:20
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 4:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:20
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 4:31
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 4:34
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:42
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 4:46
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:50
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 4:53
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:58
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q4 5:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:20
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
102-94
Q4 5:41
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 5:41
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q4 5:44
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-92
Q4 5:49
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 5:52
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-92
Q4 6:25
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 6:25
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 6:25
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Jay Huff)
Q4 6:35
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q4 6:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:42
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 6:42
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 6:42
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 6:54
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 6:57
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:06
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q4 7:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q4 7:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:26
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 7:30
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 7:33
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:37
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q4 7:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:56
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 8:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:13
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:13
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-91
Q4 8:13
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-92
Q4 8:13
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., John Konchar, Zach Edey, Jay Huff)
Q4 8:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-90
Q4 8:37
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 8:45
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 8:45
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 8:45
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey, Jay Huff)
Q4 8:45
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 8:59
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-90
Q4 9:14
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
92-90
Q4 9:19
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:19
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 9:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-87
Q4 9:38
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 9:38
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q4 9:57
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:57
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 9:57
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 10:19
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q4 10:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:40
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 10:41
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:05
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-87
Q4 11:14
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 11:28
Thunder turnover
Q4 11:44
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
88-87
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q3 00:03
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 00:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 00:06
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:24
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q3 00:28
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:37
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:37
+1
Vince Williams Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-84
Q3 00:37
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Jay Huff)
Q3 00:37
+1
Vince Williams Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-85
Q3 00:58
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 00:58
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-83
Q3 00:58
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-83
Q3 1:12
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:12
Desmond Bane offensive rebound
Q3 1:12
Thunder personal foul
Q3 1:12
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-82
Q3 1:12
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-83
Q3 1:22
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 1:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:42
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
86-81
Q3 1:59
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 1:59
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-79
Q3 1:59
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-79
Q3 1:59
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q3 1:59
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 2:09
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
84-79
Q3 2:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-77
Q3 2:29
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 2:32
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:44
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q3 2:46
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:59
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:59
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-76
Q3 2:59
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-77
Q3 2:59
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 3:05
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-75
Q3 3:05
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 3:05
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
82-75
Q3 3:16
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
79-75
Q3 3:24
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 3:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:46
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:46
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Zach Edey)
Q3 3:46
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 3:48
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
79-73
Q3 3:56
Thunder turnover
Q3 4:01
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 4:10
John Konchar offensive rebound
Q3 4:14
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:32
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 4:32
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-71
Q3 4:32
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., John Konchar, Zach Edey)
Q3 4:32
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 4:32
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-71
Q3 4:35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 4:38
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:49
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 4:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:09
Desmond Bane offensive rebound
Q3 5:09
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
77-71
Q3 5:13
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-69
Q3 5:33
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 5:33
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-69
Q3 5:46
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
74-69
Q3 5:53
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 5:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:01
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 6:10
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-67
Q3 6:10
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 6:23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 6:26
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:33
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 6:33
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-67
Q3 6:33
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-67
Q3 6:33
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 6:44
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 6:44
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Zach Edey)
Q3 6:54
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q3 6:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:05
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
72-67
Q3 7:05
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 7:18
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-65
Q3 7:46
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
70-65
Q3 8:01
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 8:01
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 8:01
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 8:01
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-63
Q3 8:12
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:12
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-62
Q3 8:12
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-63
Q3 8:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-61
Q3 8:33
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 8:38
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 8:47
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:47
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 8:56
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 8:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-61
Q3 8:59
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 8:59
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-61
Q3 8:59
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Jay Huff)
Q3 9:07
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 9:12
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:12
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass)
Q3 9:15
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:15
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 9:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:29
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:29
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 9:38
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 9:38
Desmond Bane turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 9:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-61
Q3 9:51
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 9:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:59
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 10:01
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:20
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 10:20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-61
Q3 10:20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-61
Q3 10:22
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q3 10:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:31
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q3 10:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:58
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-61
Q3 11:06
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 11:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:20
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 11:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:21
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 11:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 11:34
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:43
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 11:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q2 00:11
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:11
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-58
Q2 00:11
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q2 00:11
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 00:11
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-59
Q2 00:15
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 00:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:15
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 00:15
Instant replay
Q2 00:15
Desmond Bane shooting foul
Q2 00:15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q2 00:15
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:15
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
59-57
Q2 00:15
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
60-57
Q2 00:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:17
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 00:17
Thunder challenge timeout
Q2 00:28
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 00:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-57
Q2 00:47
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 00:50
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:06
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 1:09
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 1:09
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-57
Q2 1:09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:14
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 1:33
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:33
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-56
Q2 1:33
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-57
Q2 1:33
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 1:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-55
Q2 2:08
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
53-55
Q2 2:18
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 2:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:20
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q2 2:33
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:34
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 2:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:34
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 2:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-52
Q2 2:58
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 2:59
Thunder turnover
Q2 3:10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
51-52
Q2 3:10
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 3:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:34
Thunder turnover
Q2 3:44
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:44
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 3:44
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 3:44
Instant replay
Q2 3:44
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 3:44
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q2 4:08
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
51-50
Q2 4:24
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
48-50
Q2 4:25
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Q2 4:27
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:31
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q2 4:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:40
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 4:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:55
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
48-48
Q2 5:04
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-45
Q2 5:15
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
45-45
Q2 5:33
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:44
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q2 5:44
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:44
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q2 5:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:44
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-42
Q2 5:44
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q2 5:44
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 5:45
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:57
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q2 6:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:00
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 6:15
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 6:15
Zach Edey turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 6:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-41
Q2 6:36
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 6:39
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:46
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q2 6:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:47
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-41
Q2 7:07
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Zach Edey)
Q2 7:27
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
41-41
Q2 7:27
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 7:31
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:47
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:47
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 7:47
Santi Aldama turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 7:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-39
Q2 8:02
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 8:03
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 8:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:16
Thunder personal foul
Q2 8:16
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-38
Q2 8:16
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q2 8:16
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 8:16
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-39
Q2 8:28
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q2 8:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:30
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Q2 8:33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:46
Thunder personal foul
Q2 8:46
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-36
Q2 8:46
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-37
Q2 9:04
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:19
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
39-35
Q2 9:49
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-33
Q2 9:51
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 9:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:59
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:01
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:03
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:26
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
36-33
Q2 10:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:47
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q2 10:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:56
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:58
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-31
Q2 11:20
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 11:22
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:38
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 11:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Zach Edey)
Q1 00:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:08
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q1 00:13
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:25
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:41
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q1 00:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:52
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
34-31
Q1 1:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-29
Q1 1:26
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 1:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:27
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:46
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q1 1:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-29
Q1 1:49
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 1:49
Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 1:49
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane)
Q1 1:52
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 2:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-29
Q1 2:24
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:24
+1
John Konchar makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-28
Q1 2:24
+1
John Konchar makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-29
Q1 2:24
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 2:24
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 2:24
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Scotty Pippen Jr., Vince Williams Jr., John Konchar)
Q1 2:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-27
Q1 2:41
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q1 2:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:55
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 2:55
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:55
Instant replay
Q1 2:55
Alex Caruso misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:55
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 2:55
+1
Alex Caruso makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
26-27
Q1 2:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 2:57
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 3:02
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:06
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:12
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 3:20
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q1 3:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:32
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
25-27
Q1 3:36
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q1 3:36
Thunder turnover
Q1 3:39
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:56
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 3:56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-24
Q1 3:56
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Luke Kennard, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar)
Q1 3:56
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 3:56
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-24
Q1 4:07
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
23-24
Q1 4:20
Thunder violation
Q1 4:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-22
Q1 4:36
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 4:39
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-22
Q1 4:59
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 5:02
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 5:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-22
Q1 5:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:18
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 5:21
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:35
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q1 5:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:00
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
17-22
Q1 6:20
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q1 6:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-19
Q1 6:34
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:53
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
15-19
Q1 6:59
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 7:10
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q1 7:14
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:20
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:20
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-18
Q1 7:20
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Zach Edey)
Q1 7:20
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 7:20
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-19
Q1 7:29
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-17
Q1 7:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 7:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:53
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
10-17
Q1 8:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-15
Q1 8:25
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
8-15
Q1 8:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-13
Q1 8:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:46
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:53
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q1 8:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:06
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
6-13
Q1 9:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-11
Q1 9:38
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
4-11
Q1 9:50
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q1 9:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:07
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
4-8
Q1 10:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-5
Q1 10:31
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:31
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 10:31
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 10:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-5
Q1 11:00
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
0-5
Q1 11:03
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 11:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:21
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 11:30
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q1 11:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:39
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 11:45
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q1 12:00
(Scotty Pippen Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F8J. Williams2345
G22C. Wallace411
G9A. Caruso635
G5L. Dort420
F7C. Holmgren1121
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F7S. Aldama2393
G46J. Konchar462
G22D. Bane2255
G10L. Kennard433
F13J. Jackson Jr.1242

Game Prediction Article

Jason Bevilacqua
Apr 26, 2025
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 4 [2025]
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Thunder vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -1100, Grizzlies +750

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 87%
  • Grizzlies: 13%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 119-105 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 87%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 13%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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