Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 4 [2025]

NBA Playoffs action continues on Saturday at 3:30PM ET as the Oklahoma City Thunder square off with the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at FedExForum.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 4.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Oklahoma City-Memphis game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Thunder are more likely to win, while the Grizzlies have a lower chance of victory."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Jaren Jackson, Desmond Bane and Scotty Pippen, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions page.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Thunder and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 87% chance of defeating the Grizzlies in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 118-105.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+15.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 4 Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Grizzlies
Spread	-15.5 (-110)	+15.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-1100	+750
Total	o223.5 (-108)	u223.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Picks and Best Bets for Game 4

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 4 Player Props

Betting on Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Jaren Jackson is projected to be the top scorer for the Grizzlies.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 4 Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Game 4 between the Grizzlies and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 3:30PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Thunder and Grizzlies, made the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Memphis picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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