Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on December 16, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
118
117
Dec 17, 2AM Ball Arena
Dec 17, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 27 | 27 | 31 | 33 | 118 |
Nuggets | 31 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 27 | 27 | 31 | 33 | 118 |
Nuggets | 31 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 117 |
Q4 00:01 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 00:13 Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
Q4 00:44 Jamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 00:57 Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 1:38 Chet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
Q4 2:08 Jalen Williams makes two point dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
Q4 2:18 Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 2:41 Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
118-117
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
116-117
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot
114-117
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-115
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-115
Christian Braun shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
112-116
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
112-113
Michael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Thunder violation
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
110-113
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
Nuggets delay of game violation
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot
108-113
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
106-113
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-111
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
105-111
Justin Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Isaiah Joe turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
103-111
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
103-109
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
101-109
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point fadeaway jump shot
101-107
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Aaron Gordon's two point jump shot
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-107
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-107
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Peyton Watson turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Joe steals)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (Nikola Jokic steals)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-107
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-106
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Jamal Murray's two point finger roll layup
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
97-105
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot
95-105
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-102
Reggie Jackson shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
+3
Christian Braun makes three point jump shot
94-102
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
94-99
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Reggie Jackson personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
92-99
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
92-97
+2
Christian Braun makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
92-97
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
92-95
Reggie Jackson turnover (Jalen Williams steals)
Reggie Jackson defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses two point tip layup
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
Christian Braun personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Reggie Jackson makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
87-95
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-93
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-92
Kenrich Williams shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
Josh Giddey turnover (lost ball) (Christian Braun steals)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point tip layup
87-91
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-91
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-90
Kenrich Williams shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
85-89
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-87
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-87
Reggie Jackson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)
83-87
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-85
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+3
Reggie Jackson makes three point jump shot
82-85
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point running layup
82-82
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe blocks Christian Braun's two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
82-82
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nikola Jokic offensive foul (Charge) (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
79-82
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
79-82
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Peyton Watson's two point layup
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Peyton Watson's two point jump shot
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point running layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
79-80
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Peyton Watson's two point layup
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-80
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point layup
74-80
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
74-80
Isaiah Joe turnover (lost ball)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
72-78
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-76
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Isaiah Joe misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets personal foul
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point layup
Cason Wallace turnover
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
71-76
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
71-73
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-73
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-72
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
69-71
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-71
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-70
Jaylin Williams personal foul
Chet Holmgren personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses two point running layup
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
67-69
Thunder technical foul (Defensive three second)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point floating jump shot
67-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
65-68
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-67
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point turnaround jump shot
Jamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
62-66
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving layup
60-66
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
60-64
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot
60-64
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving layup
60-61
+3
Justin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
56-61
Chet Holmgren turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point layup
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
56-58
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
56-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Aaron Gordon's two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Aaron Gordon's two point layup
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
End of 1st Half.
Jalen Williams turnover
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
54-56
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
51-56
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-56
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-55
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-54
Reggie Jackson personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-54
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-53
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
48-52
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-52
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
46-51
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot
43-51
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-49
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-49
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup
41-49
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Justin Holiday assists)
41-49
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses two point layup
Nuggets lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
39-47
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Kenrich Williams personal foul
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
39-44
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-42
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-42
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
37-42
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-42
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-42
Peyton Watson personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
33-42
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point putback layup
33-42
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point hook shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point driving hook shot
+3
Christian Braun makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)
31-40
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-37
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-37
DeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point running pullup jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-37
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins personal foul
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point jump shot (DeAndre Jordan assists)
29-36
Reggie Jackson offensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point pullup jump shot
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point floating jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
29-33
Jalen Williams turnover
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point cutting layup
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point jump shot
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point running layup (Cason Wallace assists)
29-31
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks DeAndre Jordan's two point layup
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams)
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point floating jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
+2
Reggie Jackson makes two point driving layup
27-31
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jump ball. Chet Holmgren vs. DeAndre Jordan (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder offensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point driving layup
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-29
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-29
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Christian Braun turnover (traveling)
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
25-29
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Reggie Jackson defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
23-29
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
23-26
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
23-26
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)
21-24
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point tip layup
20-22
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving layup
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point tip layup
Christian Braun misses two point layup
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point pullup jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
20-20
+3
Justin Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
20-20
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-17
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-16
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
17-15
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
17-15
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
17-13
Thunder offensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving dunk (Justin Holiday assists)
12-13
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-11
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-11
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
10-11
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Nikola Jokic's two point hook shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point layup
Nikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
10-9
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point layup
10-9
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
8-7
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup
8-5
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
6-5
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
6-5
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot
6-2
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point layup
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
2-2
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
2-0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren vs. Nikola Jokic (Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 7 | C. Holmgren | 17 | 11 | 1 |
| F | 5 | L. Dort | 13 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 25 | 6 | 8 |
| F | 8 | J. Williams | 24 | 1 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 50 | A. Gordon | 16 | 9 | 5 |
| G | 0 | C. Braun | 14 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 15 | 2 | 5 |
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 24 | 6 | 12 |
| F | 1 | M. Porter Jr. | 20 | 11 | 0 |
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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
- Date: Saturday, December 16, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +180, Nuggets -200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 35%
- Nuggets: 65%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 116-120 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 35%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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