Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Warriors NBA game on March 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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2nd 2:58
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NBA
Kings
21
:
30
Mar 14, 2AM Chase Center
Warriors
Mar 14, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Kings
 19 2 0 0 21
Warriors
 30 0 0 0 30
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
KingsSAC
Win %
18%
82%
WarriorsGSW
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityKingsWarriors1QHALF3QREG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityKings +8Warriors -81QHALF3QREG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 233.5Under 233.51QHALF3QREG0255075100
TEAM1234T
Kings
 19 2 0 0 21
Warriors
 30 0 0 0 30
Q2 3:20 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:55 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q2 4:00 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:10 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:18 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:28 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:40 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q2 4:54 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q2 5:11 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:35 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q2 2:58
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 3:12
Warriors personal foul
Q2 3:20
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:38
Warriors turnover
Q2 3:55
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
21-30
Q2 3:55
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 3:55
Warriors violation
Q2 3:55
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk)
Q2 3:55
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody)
Q2 3:57
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Q2 4:00
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:06
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q2 4:10
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:16
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q2 4:18
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:25
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 4:28
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:40
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
21-30
Q2 4:54
Warriors personal foul
Q2 4:54
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
21-30
Q2 4:54
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-30
Q2 5:01
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 5:01
Warriors personal foul
Q2 5:09
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q2 5:11
Kings lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk)
Q2 5:11
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:33
Kings 60 second timeout
Q2 5:35
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 5:42
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 5:43
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q2 5:43
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:47
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:59
Kings personal foul
Q2 5:59
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Q2 5:59
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-30
Q2 6:11
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 6:22
+1
Kevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-30
Q2 6:22
Kings personal foul
Q2 6:22
+1
Kevon Looney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Q2 6:43
Warriors personal foul
Q2 6:43
Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 6:43
Kings offensive rebound
Q2 6:43
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Kevon Looney, Gui Santos, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry)
Q2 6:43
Kings lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zach LaVine, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan)
Q2 6:43
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Q2 6:56
Kings violation
Q2 6:56
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
21-30
Q2 7:07
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q2 7:10
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:27
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
21-30
Q2 7:37
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q2 7:39
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:42
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q2 7:45
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:57
Kings turnover
Q2 7:57
Kings lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zach LaVine, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 7:57
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Q2 8:02
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Q2 8:05
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:15
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:16
Kings offensive rebound
Q2 8:16
Kings turnover
Q2 8:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:40
Kings personal foul
Q2 8:40
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-30
Q2 8:40
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Jonas Valanciunas, Zach LaVine, Keegan Murray, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 8:40
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Q2 8:44
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 8:48
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:11
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 9:28
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 9:51
Kings personal foul
Q2 9:51
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-30
Q2 9:51
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Q2 10:02
Kings violation
Q2 10:05
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 10:19
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 10:20
+3
Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 10:23
Kings turnover
Q2 10:38
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 10:52
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 11:12
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 11:41
+3
Devin Carter makes three point jump shot
21-30
Q2 11:43
Devin Carter offensive rebound
Q2 11:47
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Kings offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Trey Lyles, Zach LaVine, Keegan Murray, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Q1 00:06
Warriors personal foul
Q1 00:06
Warriors lineup change (Kevon Looney, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
Q1 00:15
Warriors turnover
Q1 00:28
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
19-30
Q1 00:50
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
16-30
Q1 00:54
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Q1 00:57
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
16-28
Q1 1:37
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 1:40
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:45
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Q1 1:50
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:02
Kings personal foul
Q1 2:20
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
16-25
Q1 2:40
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:40
Kings defensive rebound
Q1 2:40
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 2:40
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Kevon Looney, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II)
Q1 2:41
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:05
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
14-25
Q1 3:12
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
12-25
Q1 3:18
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Q1 3:20
Malik Monk offensive rebound
Q1 3:20
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:23
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:33
Warriors turnover
Q1 3:50
Jump ball. (Kevon Looney gains possession)
Q1 3:53
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:53
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 3:54
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Jake LaRavia)
Q1 3:54
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Keon Ellis, DeMar DeRozan, Jake LaRavia, Malik Monk)
Q1 3:54
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Q1 3:54
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Q1 3:56
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Q1 3:59
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:10
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q1 4:13
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:23
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Q1 4:23
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
12-23
Q1 4:26
Keegan Murray misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:46
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
10-23
Q1 5:02
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 5:07
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:17
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Q1 5:18
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:18
Kings offensive rebound
Q1 5:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:18
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Q1 5:21
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:35
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
10-20
Q1 5:41
Kings turnover
Q1 5:49
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q1 5:51
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:14
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
10-17
Q1 6:18
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q1 6:20
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:35
Kings turnover
Q1 6:53
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
7-17
Q1 7:08
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 7:11
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:23
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
7-14
Q1 7:23
Kings 60 second timeout
Q1 7:23
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Q1 7:23
Kings lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zach LaVine, Keon Ellis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan)
Q1 7:40
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q1 7:44
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:53
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q1 7:55
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:01
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Q1 8:04
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:14
Kings turnover
Q1 8:29
Kings personal foul
Q1 8:29
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-11
Q1 8:29
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-12
Q1 8:44
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
7-10
Q1 8:47
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q1 8:50
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:00
Kings turnover
Q1 9:09
Warriors personal foul
Q1 9:23
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
5-10
Q1 9:33
Kings turnover
Q1 9:44
Kings personal foul
Q1 9:44
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q1 9:44
Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 9:44
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 9:44
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-7
Q1 9:49
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:58
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q1 10:01
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:15
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
5-6
Q1 10:21
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q1 10:23
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:41
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
2-6
Q1 11:02
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-6
Q1 11:18
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Q1 11:21
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:33
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-3
Q1 11:36
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Q1 11:38
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Kings lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zach LaVine, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk)
Q1 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Q1 12:00
(Draymond Green gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Kings
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F41T. Lyles310
G23K. Ellis503
G0M. Monk224
F13K. Murray311
F10D. DeRozan722
Warriors
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F10J. Butler III433
G4M. Moody203
F23D. Green1532
F0J. Kuminga621
G30S. Curry512

Game Prediction Article

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Kings vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Kings vs. Warriors
  • Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 233
  • Moneyline Odds: Kings +250, Warriors -278

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Kings: 28%
  • Warriors: 72%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 113-120 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 28%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Chase Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kings vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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