Heat vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Spurs NBA game on December 17, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
101
Dec 17, 10PM Mexico City Arena
Dec 17, 10PM Mexico City Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 25 | 27 | 28 | 31 | 111 |
Spurs | 28 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 25 | 27 | 28 | 31 | 111 |
Spurs | 28 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 101 |
Q4 00:15 Stanley Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:01 Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:19 Malaki Branham misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Jimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:56 Keita Bates-Diop misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:23 Keita Bates-Diop makes two point driving finger roll layup (Isaiah Roby assists)
Q4 2:57 Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 3:40 Keita Bates-Diop makes two point layup (Devin Vassell assists)
Q4 3:55 Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Stanley Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
Stanley Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Malaki Branham misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point driving finger roll layup (Isaiah Roby assists)
111-101
Isaiah Roby defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Isaiah Roby, Stanley Johnson, Charles Bassey, Malaki Branham, Keita Bates-Diop)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 1
111-99
Spurs technical foul (Delay of game)
Spurs delay of game violation
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Stanley Johnson, Charles Bassey, Keita Bates-Diop, Keldon Johnson)
Keldon Johnson offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Zach Collins defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Keita Bates-Diop turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Keldon Johnson steals)
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point layup (Devin Vassell assists)
110-99
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
110-97
Tre Jones turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)
Zach Collins defensive rebound
Tre Jones turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-97
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-97
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-97
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-96
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-95
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-95
Devin Vassell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+2
Zach Collins makes two point cutting layup (Keita Bates-Diop assists)
104-95
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk
104-93
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Zach Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-93
+1
Zach Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-92
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)
Keita Bates-Diop offensive rebound
Tre Jones misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot
101-91
Zach Collins turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)
99-91
Spurs 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Tre Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-91
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
97-90
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-90
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-89
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
95-88
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop misses two point layup
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point tip dunk
95-88
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-88
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell)
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-87
Victor Oladipo shooting foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point jump shot
90-86
Tre Jones turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Haywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Devin Vassell shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Tyler Herro personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot
Victor Oladipo defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point stepback jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell)
Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Malaki Branham draws the foul)
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-86
Keita Bates-Diop shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
88-86
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
84-86
+2
Doug McDermott makes two point reverse layup (Zach Collins assists)
84-86
Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)
Zach Collins offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
82-84
End of 3rd Quarter.
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-84
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-83
Victor Oladipo shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Keita Bates-Diop defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Victor Oladipo defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
80-82
+3
Malaki Branham makes three point jump shot (Keita Bates-Diop assists)
78-82
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-79
Spurs lineup change (Malaki Branham, Keita Bates-Diop, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jeremy Sochan shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Doug McDermott misses three point jump shot
+3
Malaki Branham makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
77-79
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses three point jump shot
+2
Jeremy Sochan makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
75-76
Doug McDermott turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Doug McDermott shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
73-74
Zach Collins offensive foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)
Zach Collins turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
71-74
+2
Malaki Branham makes two point driving finger roll layup (Zach Collins assists)
71-74
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-72
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-72
Doug McDermott shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Zach Collins makes two point jump shot
66-72
Zach Collins defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses three point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tre Jones assists)
66-70
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Keldon Johnson makes technical free throw 1 of 1
66-68
Erik Spoelstra technical foul
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Keita Bates-Diop, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
66-67
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot
66-67
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Heat offensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point pullup jump shot
Keita Bates-Diop personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
61-67
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
61-66
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Max Strus makes two point tip layup
61-65
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point jump shot
59-65
Bam Adebayo turnover (traveling)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving layup
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
59-63
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Tre Jones assists)
59-61
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)
Keldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
57-59
+2
Tre Jones makes two point driving finger roll layup
57-59
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot
57-57
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving layup
Spurs offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup
Nikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keita Bates-Diop defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point hook shot
Jakob Poeltl kicked ball violation
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot (Keita Bates-Diop assists)
52-57
Bam Adebayo turnover (Keita Bates-Diop steals)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)
Spurs offensive rebound
Tre Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dewayne Dedmon blocks Tre Jones's two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
52-55
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
49-55
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Tre Jones blocks Max Strus's two point jump shot
+1
Zach Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-53
+1
Zach Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-52
Max Strus shooting foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk
49-51
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-51
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-50
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Dewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-49
Zach Collins shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler blocks Doug McDermott's three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)
46-49
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)
46-49
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
+3
Zach Collins makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)
46-46
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Jeremy Sochan shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
44-43
+2
Zach Collins makes two point layup (Jeremy Sochan assists)
44-43
Zach Collins defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Zach Collins blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
42-41
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot
42-39
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Zach Collins assists)
42-39
+2
Max Strus makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
42-37
Zach Collins turnover (Victor Oladipo steals)
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)
38-37
+3
Malaki Branham makes three point pullup jump shot (Zach Collins assists)
38-37
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Malaki Branham, Keita Bates-Diop, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Tre Jones assists)
36-34
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Malaki Branham, Keita Bates-Diop, Keldon Johnson)
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Tre Jones misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup
36-32
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point putback dunk
34-32
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup
Jakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-32
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Tre Jones misses two point driving layup
Victor Oladipo personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
32-31
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point driving dunk (Tre Jones assists)
32-31
+1
Haywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-29
Haywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-29
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Tre Jones defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tre Jones misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Doug McDermott misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)
29-28
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Keita Bates-Diop, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell)
Jeremy Sochan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Doug McDermott misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)
29-28
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl misses two point turnaround hook shot
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Jeremy Sochan draws the foul)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith blocks Jakob Poeltl's two point driving layup
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses two point driving layup
Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Jeremy Sochan, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell)
Spurs delay of game violation
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-28
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-28
Jeremy Sochan shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins)
Jeremy Sochan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Jeremy Sochan draws the foul)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot
Doug McDermott turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
+3
Victor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
23-28
+3
Doug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
20-28
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Malaki Branham, Doug McDermott, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Malaki Branham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-25
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Malaki Branham draws the foul)
Victor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Malaki Branham steals)
+3
Doug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
20-24
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point putback layup
20-21
Keita Bates-Diop offensive rebound
Doug McDermott misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)
20-19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Zach Collins blocks Victor Oladipo's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-16
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-15
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Dewayne Dedmon turnover (lost ball) (Malaki Branham steals)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-14
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-13
Victor Oladipo shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Malaki Branham, Keita Bates-Diop, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)
Victor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Tre Jones steals)
Zach Collins turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)
Zach Collins offensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop misses two point pullup jump shot
Zach Collins offensive rebound
Tre Jones misses two point floating jump shot
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Keita Bates-Diop, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson)
Devin Vassell personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Keita Bates-Diop assists)
20-12
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
20-9
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)
Zach Collins turnover
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
17-9
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Zach Collins assists)
17-9
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
15-7
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point turnaround jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Zach Collins draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses two point pullup jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jeremy Sochan, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson)
Tyler Herro personal foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
12-7
+2
Tre Jones makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
12-7
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point driving layup (Keldon Johnson assists)
12-5
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
9-3
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point putback layup
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses two point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jovic personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-3
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-3
Tre Jones shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)
4-3
Max Strus defensive rebound
Tre Jones misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Max Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Jeremy Sochan misses two point driving layup
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
4-3
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)
4-3
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Max Strus gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Jakob Poeltl, Jeremy Sochan, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| C | 25 | O. Robinson | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C | 5 | N. Jovic | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 4 | V. Oladipo | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 55 | D. Robinson | 12 | 2 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 18 | I. Roby | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| F-G | 34 | S. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C-F | 28 | C. Bassey | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 22 | M. Branham | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 31 | K. Bates-Diop | 10 | 4 | 4 |
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Heat vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Spurs
- Date: Saturday, December 17, 2022
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mexico City Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -300, Spurs +270
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 74%
- Spurs: 26%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 115-108 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 74%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 26%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Mexico City Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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