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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Stephen Curry, Paolo Banchero [4/23/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.

This Wednesday, April 23rd, another exciting day of NBA basketball is on the menu, headlined by the Magic's matchup against the Celtics at 7:00PM ET.
After evaluating Wednesday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Wednesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA Play-In Tournment games are expected to feature players such as Stephen Curry, Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 23, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 17.1% |
Paolo Banchero (Magic) | 16.0% |
Franz Wagner (Magic) | 14.1% |
Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics) | 13.0% |
Tyler Herro (Heat) | 12.9% |
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) | 12.7% |
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | 12.4% |
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) | 12.1% |
Darius Garland (Cavaliers) | 11.7% |
Bam Adebayo (Heat) | 11.5% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 17.1%.
Following Curry closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Paolo Banchero at 16.0% and Franz Wagner at 14.1%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 4/23/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Stephen Curry To Score First Basket
- Odds: +700
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 17.1%
- Game: Warriors vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate in the game between the Warriors and Rockets. The bet is on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.6% according to our analysis.
Not only does Curry present an edge according to our model, but him is also the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/23/2025]
- Magic vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Heat vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Warriors vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)
For more betting guides, check out Wednesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 23, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 23, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, April 23, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
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