Jazz vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Thunder NBA game on March 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Jazz
119
129
Mar 6, 12AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 6, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Jazz
20 31 33 35 119
Thunder
35 35 31 29 129
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
JazzUTA
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Jazz
20 31 33 35 119
Thunder
35 35 31 29 129
Q4 00:18 Jordan Clarkson makes two point layup (Kris Dunn assists)
Q4 00:41 Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
Q4 00:46 Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
Q4 2:03 Kelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Jordan Clarkson assists)
Q4 4:47 Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:53 Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:08 Kris Dunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 5:14 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:47 Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:52 Talen Horton-Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:18
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point layup (Kris Dunn assists)
119-130
Q4 00:19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Kris Dunn steals)
Q4 00:19
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 00:41
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
117-130
Q4 00:46
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
117-130
Q4 1:07
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-127
Q4 1:07
Jordan Clarkson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:07
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
Q4 2:03
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Jordan Clarkson assists)
112-125
Q4 4:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:44
Walker Kessler defensive rebound
Q4 4:47
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:50
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 4:53
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:08
+2
Kris Dunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
103-120
Q4 5:11
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Q4 5:14
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-120
Q4 5:28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-119
Q4 5:28
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 5:28
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Kelly Olynyk)
Q4 6:34
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q4 7:39
Jazz personal foul
Q4 7:45
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Q4 7:47
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:49
Johnny Juzang offensive rebound
Q4 7:52
Talen Horton-Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 8:07
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Q4 8:10
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:59
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point stepback jump shot
94-111
Q4 9:15
+3
Talen Horton-Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
94-108
Q4 9:55
Talen Horton-Tucker defensive rebound
Q4 9:59
Ousmane Dieng misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 10:17
+1
Damian Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-106
Q4 10:17
+1
Damian Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-106
Q4 10:17
Jalen Williams shooting foul (Damian Jones draws the foul)
Q4 10:18
Damian Jones offensive rebound
Q4 10:18
Jalen Williams blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point dunk
Q4 10:19
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Q4 10:22
Johnny Juzang misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:36
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point running layup
87-106
Q4 10:41
Kelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Ousmane Dieng steals)
Q4 10:48
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-104
Q4 10:48
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 10:48
Damian Jones shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
Q3 00:03
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 00:54
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
Q3 00:54
Jordan Clarkson offensive rebound
Q3 00:56
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:05
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Q3 1:07
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:58
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-92
Q3 2:58
Kris Dunn shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q3 3:02
Kris Dunn turnover
Q3 3:16
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
78-91
Q3 3:21
Walker Kessler blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point jump shot
Q3 3:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 3:33
Walker Kessler blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving layup
Q3 3:39
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q3 3:41
Jordan Clarkson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 3:51
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Q3 3:53
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 4:35
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 5:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:39
Jazz defensive rebound
Q3 5:41
Josh Giddey misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 5:51
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point jump shot
69-88
Q3 5:52
Walker Kessler offensive rebound
Q3 5:53
Walker Kessler misses two point layup
Q3 6:07
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Josh Giddey assists)
69-88
Q3 6:19
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-86
Q3 6:30
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point pullup jump shot
66-86
Q3 6:56
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
66-84
Q3 7:01
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Clarkson steals)
Q3 7:13
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving layup
64-84
Q3 7:31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-84
Q3 8:52
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point pullup jump shot
60-79
Q3 9:04
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q3 9:05
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)
58-79
Q3 9:22
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
58-77
Q3 9:33
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Q3 9:36
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:42
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 9:44
Kelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:58
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
58-77
Q3 10:03
Jordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)
Q3 10:19
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
55-75
Q3 10:46
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point floating jump shot
55-73
Q2 1:01
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point driving dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
47-67
Q2 1:20
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot (Ochai Agbaji assists)
47-65
Q2 1:35
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Q2 1:35
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:53
+3
Kris Dunn makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
45-65
Q2 2:03
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-65
Q2 2:11
Jordan Clarkson turnover (traveling)
Q2 2:18
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Q2 2:20
Luguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot
Q2 2:30
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-63
Q2 2:30
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-63
Q2 3:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:06
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 3:06
Kelly Olynyk personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q2 3:11
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q2 3:13
Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:32
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
40-60
Q2 3:46
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 3:46
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup
40-58
Q2 3:46
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Q2 3:49
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:54
Kris Dunn defensive rebound
Q2 3:55
Olivier Sarr offensive rebound
Q2 3:55
Olivier Sarr misses two point tip layup
Q2 3:57
Luguentz Dort misses two point tip layup
Q2 4:01
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 4:03
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:11
+1
Walker Kessler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-58
Q2 4:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:19
Jazz offensive rebound
Q2 4:22
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:30
+1
Dario Saric makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-58
Q2 4:30
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Dario Saric, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 4:30
Jazz personal foul
Q2 4:52
+3
Kelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)
37-57
Q2 5:12
+2
Dario Saric makes two point layup (Josh Giddey assists)
37-57
Q2 5:18
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q2 5:21
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:40
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point putback layup
34-55
Q2 5:41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q2 5:42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
Q2 7:55
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q2 7:56
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
27-48
Q2 8:02
Talen Horton-Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Williams steals)
Q2 8:16
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point putback dunk
27-45
Q2 8:16
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q2 8:18
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
Q2 8:39
+3
Johnny Juzang makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
27-43
Q2 9:24
+3
Dario Saric makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
24-42
Q2 11:41
Johnny Juzang turnover
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Dario Saric, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q2 12:00
Jazz lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Juan Toscano-Anderson, Talen Horton-Tucker, Johnny Juzang, Damian Jones)
Q1 00:02
Kris Dunn defensive rebound
Q1 00:02
Damian Jones blocks Ousmane Dieng's two point running layup
Q1 00:07
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q1 00:09
Kris Dunn misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 1:26
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point stepback jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
17-32
Q1 1:41
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
17-32
Q1 2:06
Thunder technical foul (Defensive three second)
Q1 2:20
+2
Olivier Sarr makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
13-30
Q1 2:29
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q1 2:29
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 2:30
+3
Kris Dunn makes three point jump shot (Damian Jones assists)
13-28
Q1 2:43
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)
13-28
Q1 2:55
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 2:57
Kris Dunn misses two point layup
Q1 4:05
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-21
Q1 4:05
Rudy Gay shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Q1 5:21
Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Q1 5:33
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-20
Q1 5:33
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 5:33
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Rudy Gay)
Q1 5:33
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-20
Q1 5:33
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
Q1 5:44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-20
Q1 5:44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-19
Q1 6:10
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-18
Q1 6:10
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-18
Q1 6:10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Ochai Agbaji draws the foul)
Q1 6:10
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Kelly Olynyk)
Q1 8:02
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Q1 8:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q1 8:12
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 8:14
Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:27
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Q1 8:31
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:33
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Q1 8:36
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:40
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 8:43
Talen Horton-Tucker misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q1 9:08
+3
Josh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
2-10
Q1 9:59
Jaylin Williams offensive foul (Off the ball) (Talen Horton-Tucker draws the foul)
Q1 9:59
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 10:09
Jazz personal foul
Q1 10:23
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving layup
0-4
Q1 10:38
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 10:39
Kelly Olynyk misses two point running layup
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Jazz
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C24W. Kessler17100
G0J. Clarkson18413
G11K. Dunn1722
F30O. Agbaji1412
F41K. Olynyk15105
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G3J. Giddey2499
F5L. Dort451
G11I. Joe631
F8J. Williams3255
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander3874

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Jazz vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jazz vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -13.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Jazz +4000, Thunder -250

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jazz: 30%
  • Thunder: 70%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 114-120 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 30%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jazz vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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