Jazz vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Thunder NBA game on March 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
129
Mar 6, 12AM Paycom Center
Mar 6, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 20 | 31 | 33 | 35 | 119 |
Thunder | 35 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 129 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 20 | 31 | 33 | 35 | 119 |
Thunder | 35 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 129 |
Q4 00:18 Jordan Clarkson makes two point layup (Kris Dunn assists)
Q4 00:41 Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
Q4 00:46 Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
Q4 2:03 Kelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Jordan Clarkson assists)
Q4 4:47 Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:53 Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:08 Kris Dunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
Q4 5:14 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:47 Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:52 Talen Horton-Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point layup (Kris Dunn assists)
119-130
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Kris Dunn steals)
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
117-130
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
117-130
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-127
Jordan Clarkson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point driving layup (Jordan Clarkson assists)
112-125
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Walker Kessler defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Kris Dunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
103-120
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-120
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-119
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Kelly Olynyk)
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Jazz personal foul
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Johnny Juzang offensive rebound
Talen Horton-Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point stepback jump shot
94-111
+3
Talen Horton-Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
94-108
Talen Horton-Tucker defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses three point stepback jump shot
+1
Damian Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-106
+1
Damian Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-106
Jalen Williams shooting foul (Damian Jones draws the foul)
Damian Jones offensive rebound
Jalen Williams blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point dunk
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Johnny Juzang misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point running layup
87-106
Kelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Ousmane Dieng steals)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-104
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Damian Jones shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
Jordan Clarkson offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-92
Kris Dunn shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Kris Dunn turnover
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
78-91
Walker Kessler blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder offensive rebound
Walker Kessler blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving layup
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point jump shot
69-88
Walker Kessler offensive rebound
Walker Kessler misses two point layup
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Josh Giddey assists)
69-88
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-86
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point pullup jump shot
66-86
+2
Walker Kessler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)
66-84
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Clarkson steals)
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving layup
64-84
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-84
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point pullup jump shot
60-79
Jazz 60 second timeout
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)
58-79
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
58-77
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
58-77
Jordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
55-75
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point floating jump shot
55-73
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point driving dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
47-67
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot (Ochai Agbaji assists)
47-65
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+3
Kris Dunn makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
45-65
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-65
Jordan Clarkson turnover (traveling)
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-63
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-63
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
40-60
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Kelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup
40-58
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Kris Dunn defensive rebound
Olivier Sarr offensive rebound
Olivier Sarr misses two point tip layup
Luguentz Dort misses two point tip layup
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
+1
Walker Kessler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz offensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
+1
Dario Saric makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-58
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Dario Saric, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jazz personal foul
+3
Kelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)
37-57
+2
Dario Saric makes two point layup (Josh Giddey assists)
37-57
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point putback layup
34-55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
Jazz 60 second timeout
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
27-48
Talen Horton-Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Williams steals)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point putback dunk
27-45
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
+3
Johnny Juzang makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
27-43
+3
Dario Saric makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
24-42
Johnny Juzang turnover
Thunder lineup change (Dario Saric, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Jazz lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Juan Toscano-Anderson, Talen Horton-Tucker, Johnny Juzang, Damian Jones)
Kris Dunn defensive rebound
Damian Jones blocks Ousmane Dieng's two point running layup
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Kris Dunn misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point stepback jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
17-32
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
17-32
Thunder technical foul (Defensive three second)
+2
Olivier Sarr makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
13-30
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Kris Dunn makes three point jump shot (Damian Jones assists)
13-28
+2
Ousmane Dieng makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)
13-28
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Kris Dunn misses two point layup
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-21
Rudy Gay shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-20
Thunder lineup change (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Olivier Sarr, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Rudy Gay)
+1
Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-20
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-19
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-18
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-18
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Ochai Agbaji draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Walker Kessler, Jordan Clarkson, Kris Dunn, Ochai Agbaji, Kelly Olynyk)
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Talen Horton-Tucker misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Josh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
2-10
Jaylin Williams offensive foul (Off the ball) (Talen Horton-Tucker draws the foul)
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Jazz personal foul
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving layup
0-4
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk misses two point running layup
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 24 | W. Kessler | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| G | 0 | J. Clarkson | 18 | 4 | 13 |
| G | 11 | K. Dunn | 17 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 30 | O. Agbaji | 14 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 41 | K. Olynyk | 15 | 10 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | J. Giddey | 24 | 9 | 9 |
| F | 5 | L. Dort | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 8 | J. Williams | 32 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 38 | 7 | 4 |
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Jazz vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 246.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +4000, Thunder -250
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 30%
- Thunder: 70%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 114-120 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 30%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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