Spurs vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Rockets NBA game on March 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
142
Mar 6, 12AM Toyota Center
Mar 6, 12AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 24 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 110 |
Rockets | 38 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 142 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 24 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 110 |
Rockets | 38 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 142 |
Q4 00:12 Sandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Gorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Tari Eason makes two point dunk (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)
Q4 2:09 TyTy Washington Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Blake Wesley misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Julian Champagnie makes two point cutting dunk (Blake Wesley assists)
Q4 2:43 Gorgui Dieng blocks Josh Christopher's two point driving layup
Q4 3:01 Malaki Branham makes two point driving reverse layup
Q4 3:09 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Boban Marjanovic defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot
Gorgui Dieng offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-142
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-141
Dominick Barlow personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Gorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot
+2
Tari Eason makes two point dunk (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)
110-140
Jump ball. Boban Marjanovic vs. Dominick Barlow (TyTy Washington Jr. gains possession)
Dominick Barlow turnover (lost ball) (Dominick Barlow steals)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
TyTy Washington Jr. misses three point jump shot
TyTy Washington Jr. defensive rebound
Blake Wesley misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Dominick Barlow steals)
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point cutting dunk (Blake Wesley assists)
108-136
Blake Wesley defensive rebound
Gorgui Dieng blocks Josh Christopher's two point driving layup
+2
Malaki Branham makes two point driving reverse layup
106-136
Malaki Branham defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Boban Marjanovic defensive rebound
Blake Wesley misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
TyTy Washington Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Christopher assists)
104-136
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Dominick Barlow misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
TyTy Washington Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Gorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot
Gorgui Dieng defensive rebound
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-133
Gorgui Dieng shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
+2
Gorgui Dieng makes two point cutting dunk (Dominick Barlow assists)
98-125
Dominick Barlow offensive rebound
Gorgui Dieng misses three point jump shot
+1
Josh Christopher makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-125
Rockets lineup change (Boban Marjanovic, Josh Christopher, Tari Eason, TyTy Washington Jr., Jabari Smith Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Malaki Branham, Dominick Barlow, Gorgui Dieng, Devonte' Graham)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
94-117
Spurs lineup change (Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Malaki Branham, Gorgui Dieng, Devonte' Graham)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-115
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-114
Sandro Mamukelashvili shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point pullup jump shot
90-113
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-113
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-112
Gorgui Dieng personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Keita Bates-Diop, Devin Vassell, Malaki Branham, Gorgui Dieng, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses two point driving layup
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay (Request)
+1
Devonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-103
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Usman Garuba, Kenyon Martin Jr., Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
Devonte' Graham misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Tari Eason personal foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)
+3
Tari Eason makes three point jump shot
80-103
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dominick Barlow, Charles Bassey, Devonte' Graham, Blake Wesley)
Kenyon Martin Jr. defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Devonte' Graham defensive rebound
Jalen Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Blake Wesley makes two point pullup jump shot
80-100
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-100
Jalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Devonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-99
Jalen Green personal foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)
+3
Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)
76-99
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)
76-96
+2
Jalen Green makes two point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
76-91
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Malaki Branham, Dominick Barlow, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Devonte' Graham)
+2
Devonte' Graham makes two point driving layup
76-89
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
76-89
Keldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
+2
Kenyon Martin Jr. makes two point running dunk
69-83
Keldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Kenyon Martin Jr. steals)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Jalen Green makes two point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
69-81
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop blocks Jalen Green's two point driving layup
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
69-79
Malaki Branham defensive rebound
Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point tip layup
67-79
Keita Bates-Diop offensive rebound
Malaki Branham misses two point pullup jump shot
Malaki Branham defensive rebound
Jalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup
Spurs violation
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
64-75
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Jalen Green misses three point jump shot
Keita Bates-Diop misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Spurs offensive rebound
Keita Bates-Diop misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)
End of 1st Half.
+2
Kenyon Martin Jr. makes two point driving dunk
63-70
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Charles Bassey misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jalen Green turnover (Charles Bassey steals)
+2
Charles Bassey makes two point jump shot
59-65
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Charles Bassey misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point hook shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
59-65
+3
Devonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
59-63
+3
Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
54-63
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Josh Christopher misses three point stepback jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
+2
Charles Bassey makes two point layup
51-56
Alperen Sengun personal foul (Malaki Branham draws the foul)
+2
Malaki Branham makes two point jump shot
48-56
Malaki Branham defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Josh Christopher, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-56
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Josh Christopher makes two point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
42-53
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point cutting layup (Malaki Branham assists)
42-51
Malaki Branham defensive rebound
Charles Bassey blocks Tari Eason's two point driving layup
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Usman Garuba, Josh Christopher, Tari Eason)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keita Bates-Diop, Keldon Johnson, Malaki Branham, Charles Bassey)
Keldon Johnson offensive foul (Charge) (Usman Garuba draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Keita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-47
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Usman Garuba, Josh Christopher, Kenyon Martin Jr., Tari Eason)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keita Bates-Diop, Keldon Johnson, Malaki Branham, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
+1
Keita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-47
Jae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Sandro Mamukelashvili draws the foul)
+2
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes two point layup (Devonte' Graham assists)
31-41
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point driving layup
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-41
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Kenyon Martin Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot (Blake Wesley assists)
29-41
+1
Jae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-41
Blake Wesley shooting foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)
+2
Jae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup
24-40
End of 1st Quarter.
+3
Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot
22-38
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
22-35
Spurs personal foul
+1
Dominick Barlow makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-31
Dominick Barlow misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Usman Garuba shooting foul (Dominick Barlow draws the foul)
Dominick Barlow offensive rebound
Devonte' Graham misses two point jump shot
+3
Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
18-27
Sandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason personal foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Jalen Green misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point finger roll layup
18-20
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dominick Barlow, Charles Bassey, Devonte' Graham, Blake Wesley)
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)
+3
Kenyon Martin Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
16-20
+2
Charles Bassey makes two point turnaround hook shot
16-14
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-14
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-13
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Malaki Branham, Dominick Barlow, Charles Bassey, Devonte' Graham)
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point stepback jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+2
Jalen Green makes two point running finger roll layup
10-6
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Jalen Green turnover
+2
Charles Bassey makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
5-0
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses two point driving floating jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 30 | J. Champagnie | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 26 | D. Barlow | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| C | 41 | G. Dieng | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| F-C | 54 | S. Mamukelashvili | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 14 | B. Wesley | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 51 | B. Marjanovic | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 9 | J. Christopher | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 17 | T. Eason | 17 | 8 | 1 |
| G | 0 | T. Washington Jr. | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 1 | J. Smith Jr. | 11 | 4 | 2 |
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Spurs vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Rockets
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -30.5
- Total (Over/Under): 251.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +2500, Rockets -185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 34%
- Rockets: 66%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 114-118 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 34%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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