- Predictions
Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Lakers NBA game on March 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
105
113
Mar 5, 8:30PM Crypto.com Arena
Mar 5, 8:30PM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 18 | 36 | 18 | 33 | 105 |
Lakers | 33 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 113 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 18 | 36 | 18 | 33 | 105 |
Lakers | 33 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 113 |
Q4 00:04 Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Donte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:47 Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Anthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:46 Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
Q4 1:55 Anthony Davis misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:57 Anthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
Q4 3:38 Troy Brown Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
Q4 5:56 Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-110
Stephen Curry personal foul (Take) (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Malik Beasley, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
Lakers 60 second timeout
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-109
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Andre Iguodala)
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot
Jordan Poole personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Jordan Poole)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot
101-107
Lakers 60 second timeout
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
101-103
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point stepback jump shot
Anthony Lamb turnover (bad pass) (Dennis Schroder steals)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
95-103
+3
Troy Brown Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
93-101
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-98
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Troy Brown Jr. draws the foul)
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Lakers 60 second timeout
Stephen Curry turnover (traveling)
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Troy Brown Jr. shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
+2
Draymond Green makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Stephen Curry assists)
88-89
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point driving hook shot (Troy Brown Jr. assists)
88-89
Wenyen Gabriel offensive foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
Wenyen Gabriel turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point running layup
83-87
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot
Troy Brown Jr. offensive rebound
+3
Lonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot
79-87
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-84
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry personal foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)
Wenyen Gabriel defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
+3
Austin Reaves makes three point running pullup jump shot
72-78
Wenyen Gabriel defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Warriors defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses two point jump shot
+3
Anthony Lamb makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)
72-75
Lakers turnover
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+3
Austin Reaves makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
69-73
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
69-70
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Lonnie Walker IV, Troy Brown Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-70
Anthony Lamb shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point layup (Jordan Poole assists)
67-69
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Malik Beasley, Dennis Schroder)
Warriors lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point layup
61-69
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Anthony Davis blocks Draymond Green's two point driving layup
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Dennis Schroder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point layup
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder)
Jordan Poole turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (lost ball) (Stephen Curry steals)
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo blocks Dennis Schroder's two point jump shot
Jordan Poole turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point floating jump shot
Lakers 60 second timeout
+2
Draymond Green makes two point jump shot
61-67
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point driving layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
61-67
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Dennis Schroder misses two point jump shot
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+3
Anthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Jarred Vanderbilt assists)
57-67
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point finger roll layup
Lakers violation
+2
Dennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot
57-64
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point bank jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Malik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
57-62
Warriors turnover
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
57-57
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Troy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point cutting dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)
54-57
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point tip layup
Dennis Schroder misses two point floating jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Anthony Davis, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney)
End of 1st Half.
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
51-53
Troy Brown Jr. shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
+2
Draymond Green makes two point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)
47-51
+3
Troy Brown Jr. makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
47-51
Klay Thompson personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Lakers defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point floating jump shot
Anthony Lamb defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-48
+2
Draymond Green makes two point running layup
45-47
Draymond Green defensive rebound
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
45-47
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole)
Austin Reaves turnover (traveling)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point finger roll layup (Austin Reaves assists)
40-43
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point driving layup
Lakers 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
40-41
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Malik Beasley misses three point jump shot
Malik Beasley offensive rebound
Malik Beasley misses three point pullup jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Dennis Schroder misses two point driving layup
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point running layup
Anthony Lamb defensive rebound
Malik Beasley misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
35-39
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Anthony Lamb defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Anthony Lamb, Andre Iguodala)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 3 of 3
32-39
Lakers lineup change (Anthony Davis, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 3
31-39
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 3
31-39
Lakers lineup change (Anthony Davis, Lonnie Walker IV, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
Wenyen Gabriel offensive foul (Charge) (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Wenyen Gabriel turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot
26-35
+2
Wenyen Gabriel makes two point driving layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)
26-35
Dennis Schroder personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wenyen Gabriel misses two point turnaround hook shot
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Wenyen Gabriel shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
+2
Draymond Green makes two point cutting layup (Jordan Poole assists)
20-33
Anthony Lamb defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Wenyen Gabriel offensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses two point driving layup
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Lonnie Walker IV, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr., Wenyen Gabriel)
Warriors lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Anthony Lamb, Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole)
End of 1st Quarter.
Lakers offensive rebound
Malik Beasley misses three point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Malik Beasley, Lonnie Walker IV, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr., Wenyen Gabriel)
Warriors lineup change (JaMychal Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Anthony Lamb)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Lonnie Walker IV, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr., Wenyen Gabriel)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers defensive rebound
Anthony Lamb misses three point jump shot
Anthony Lamb defensive rebound
JaMychal Green blocks Mo Bamba's two point putback layup
Mo Bamba offensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses two point turnaround jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point pullup jump shot
Troy Brown Jr. defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Troy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Lonnie Walker IV, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr., Mo Bamba)
Lakers turnover
Lakers offensive rebound
+3
Jonathan Kuminga makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
18-33
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Dennis Schroder misses three point jump shot
Anthony Davis defensive rebound
Anthony Davis blocks Jonathan Kuminga's two point cutting layup
Warriors 60 second timeout
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
JaMychal Green personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
+3
JaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
15-32
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-32
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (JaMychal Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole)
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-31
Anthony Lamb personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Lakers offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point running finger roll layup
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+3
Austin Reaves makes three point jump shot (Jarred Vanderbilt assists)
12-30
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder)
Warriors lineup change (JaMychal Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole)
Klay Thompson turnover (traveling)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot
12-27
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Anthony Lamb, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point putback dunk
12-25
Troy Brown Jr. misses two point jump shot
Anthony Davis offensive rebound
Troy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point driving dunk
12-23
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Malik Beasley personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevon Looney draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point driving layup
Warriors offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Austin Reaves personal foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point pullup jump shot (Malik Beasley assists)
9-19
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-20
Kevon Looney shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point stepback bank jump shot
9-17
Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
+1
Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-15
Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
Kevon Looney shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Klay Thompson turnover (traveling)
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point jump shot
7-14
Kevon Looney turnover (bad pass) (Jarred Vanderbilt steals)
Draymond Green shooting foul (Malik Beasley draws the foul)
+2
Malik Beasley makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jarred Vanderbilt assists)
7-11
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point running pullup jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Anthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Anthony Davis personal foul
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)
5-4
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
5-2
+2
Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)
3-2
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
3-0
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Troy Brown Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point floating jump shot
Anthony Davis (Draymond Green gains possession)
Lakers lineup change (Anthony Davis, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Dennis Schroder, Troy Brown Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 30 | S. Curry | 27 | 2 | 6 |
| F | 0 | D. DiVincenzo | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| F | 23 | D. Green | 15 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 11 | K. Thompson | 22 | 5 | 3 |
| G-F | 9 | A. Iguodala | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 3 | A. Davis | 39 | 8 | 6 |
| G | 15 | A. Reaves | 16 | 2 | 8 |
| G | 5 | M. Beasley | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 17 | D. Schroder | 11 | 1 | 6 |
| F | 7 | T. Brown Jr. | 14 | 8 | 2 |
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Warriors vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Lakers
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 206.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +146, Lakers +170
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 68%
- Lakers: 32%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 120-114 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 68%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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