Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Suns vs. Mavericks NBA game on March 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
130
126
Mar 5, 6PM American Airlines Center
Mar 5, 6PM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 31 | 28 | 37 | 34 | 130 |
Mavericks | 25 | 37 | 33 | 31 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
99%
1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 31 | 28 | 37 | 34 | 130 |
Mavericks | 25 | 37 | 33 | 31 | 126 |
Q4 00:12 Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Dwight Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
Q4 00:47 Deandre Ayton makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:49 Devin Booker misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Chris Paul misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:07 Ish Wainright makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
Q4 2:20 Ish Wainright misses two point running layup
Q4 3:04 Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Suns lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Ish Wainright, Chris Paul)
Instant replay (Request)
Devin Booker technical foul (Double)
Luka Doncic technical foul (Double)
Instant replay
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Suns lineup change (Torrey Craig, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Ish Wainright)
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
128-126
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
128-126
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point tip layup
126-124
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Devin Booker misses two point jump shot
Suns offensive rebound
Chris Paul misses two point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-124
Suns 60 second timeout
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-123
Ish Wainright shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+3
Ish Wainright makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
124-122
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns offensive rebound
Ish Wainright misses two point running layup
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
121-120
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Christian Wood misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
+1
Christian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-115
Suns personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Christian Wood, Luka Doncic)
Suns personal foul
+2
Chris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot
110-111
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Christian Wood misses three point jump shot
Devin Booker offensive rebound
+2
Devin Booker makes two point putback layup
108-111
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Deandre Ayton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-111
Reggie Bullock personal foul
+3
Kyrie Irving makes three point pullup jump shot
105-111
Suns personal foul
Deandre Ayton turnover (lost ball) (Christian Wood steals)
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Ish Wainright personal foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)
Christian Wood offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Devin Booker misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Suns offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock technical foul
+3
Christian Wood makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
102-108
+2
Devin Booker makes two point jump shot
102-105
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Christian Wood misses two point pullup jump shot
Kevin Durant personal foul
Suns lineup change (Torrey Craig, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Ish Wainright)
Torrey Craig shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)
+1
Christian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-101
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
98-98
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Cameron Payne assists)
98-95
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Torrey Craig, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Ish Wainright)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Suns offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Torrey Craig, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Ish Wainright)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns defensive rebound
Jock Landale shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+3
Ish Wainright makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
94-93
Luka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Cameron Payne draws the foul)
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Ish Wainright makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
91-93
Mavericks lineup change (Frank Ntilikina, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr., Justin Holiday, Luka Doncic)
Luka Doncic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Torrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
88-93
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-93
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Torrey Craig, Cameron Payne, Devin Booker, Ish Wainright)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-91
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-91
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Torrey Craig, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker)
Suns 60 second timeout
Justin Holiday shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Terrence Ross misses three point jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
83-91
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point driving dunk (Cameron Payne assists)
83-89
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-89
Mavericks lineup change (Reggie Bullock, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr., Justin Holiday, Luka Doncic)
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Terrence Ross, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Justin Holiday, Luka Doncic)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-88
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Devin Booker shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
77-85
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-83
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-83
Reggie Bullock personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Green draws the foul)
Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Kyrie Irving makes three point stepback jump shot
75-83
+1
Devin Booker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-80
+2
Devin Booker makes two point running layup (Terrence Ross assists)
74-80
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Devin Booker misses two point driving hook shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-80
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-74
Mavericks personal foul
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Terrence Ross, Deandre Ayton, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Devin Booker makes two point jump shot
68-74
Devin Booker offensive rebound
Devin Booker misses two point pullup jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Luka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
66-71
+2
Josh Okogie makes two point putback dunk
66-69
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point turnaround jump shot
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-69
Deandre Ayton shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Chris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-67
Chris Paul misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Luka Doncic shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
61-67
+1
Devin Booker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-65
+1
Devin Booker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-65
Kyrie Irving shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
Josh Green personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-65
Kevin Durant shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point running layup
59-64
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Devin Booker misses two point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns defensive rebound
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul)
End of 1st Half.
Devin Booker defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+1
Kyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-61
Chris Paul personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
Kyrie Irving turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-60
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Luka Doncic)
Josh Okogie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Suns offensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point jump shot
Chris Paul defensive rebound
+2
Devin Booker makes two point stepback jump shot
58-60
Kyrie Irving personal foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
Devin Booker defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Kyrie Irving, Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
+2
Devin Booker makes two point pullup jump shot
56-60
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
54-60
+2
Devin Booker makes two point driving layup
54-57
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses two point alley-oop dunk
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
52-57
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point jump shot
+1
Christian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-54
+1
Christian Wood makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-53
+2
Devin Booker makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
52-52
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
52-52
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Josh Okogie, Devin Booker, T.J. Warren, Chris Paul)
Devin Booker personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Devin Booker makes two point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)
50-47
Kyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Josh Okogie steals)
+1
Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-47
Christian Wood shooting foul (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Christian Wood blocks Josh Okogie's two point running layup
Kyrie Irving turnover (lost ball) (Josh Okogie steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses two point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul)
Kyrie Irving personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point jump shot
+2
Josh Okogie makes two point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)
46-47
Suns 60 second timeout
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
44-47
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Torrey Craig misses three point jump shot
+1
Frank Ntilikina makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-44
Suns lineup change (Torrey Craig, Deandre Ayton, Kevin Durant, Damion Lee, Chris Paul)
+1
Frank Ntilikina makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-43
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
44-39
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
44-39
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
41-38
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
41-37
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
41-36
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot
41-33
Damion Lee defensive rebound
+2
Justin Holiday makes two point running finger roll layup
34-31
Cameron Payne turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)
+2
Torrey Craig makes two point cutting layup (Cameron Payne assists)
34-27
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
32-27
Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
Suns personal foul
+2
Christian Wood makes two point finger roll layup
31-27
Torrey Craig personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)
End of 1st Quarter.
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
31-25
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Frank Ntilikina shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Frank Ntilikina personal foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)
Suns lineup change (Torrey Craig, Terrence Ross, Cameron Payne, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker)
Jock Landale shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Cameron Payne makes two point jump shot
27-23
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-23
Mavericks lineup change (Frank Ntilikina, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr., Justin Holiday, Luka Doncic)
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Torrey Craig, Terrence Ross, Cameron Payne, Devin Booker)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Terrence Ross shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Devin Booker misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (Devin Booker steals)
Devin Booker misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Jock Landale, Terrence Ross, Cameron Payne, Josh Okogie, Devin Booker)
Suns 60 second timeout
+3
Markieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)
23-19
Markieff Morris defensive rebound
Devin Booker misses three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Josh Okogie turnover (out of bounds step)
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton blocks Josh Green's two point jump shot
Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
Devin Booker defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
23-14
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
+2
Josh Okogie makes two point driving reverse layup (Chris Paul assists)
21-14
+2
Kyrie Irving makes two point jump shot
19-14
+2
Devin Booker makes two point running layup
19-12
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot
17-12
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-11
Josh Okogie shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Devin Booker personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Chris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot (Devin Booker assists)
15-10
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Kyrie Irving misses two point jump shot
Josh Green offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Durant assists)
13-7
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 2 | J. Okogie | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 35 | K. Durant | 37 | 7 | 3 |
| G | 1 | D. Booker | 36 | 5 | 10 |
| F | 12 | I. Wainright | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 3 | C. Paul | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 2 | K. Irving | 30 | 4 | 7 |
| C | 7 | D. Powell | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 25 | R. Bullock | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| G-F | 11 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 34 | 9 | 4 |
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Suns vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Suns vs. Mavericks
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Suns favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 257.5
- Moneyline Odds: Suns -135, Mavericks +128
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Suns: 56%
- Mavericks: 44%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Suns 118-116 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Suns a win probability of 56%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Suns vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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