Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 5, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
:
1
Oct 6, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 6, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Paulinho (25')
C. S. Huerta Valera (2')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Funes Mori replaces C. S. Huerta Valera
90'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces A. Vega
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces Helinho
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Duarte replaces J. Gallardo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: I. Pussetto replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Avila replaces G. Martinez
72'
Yellow Card
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces I. Violante
64'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: U. Rivas replaces A. Rico
64'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: S. Trigos replaces J. Caicedo
39'
Yellow Card
L. Magallan (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
25'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by I. Violante
1-1
2'
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by C. S. Huerta Valera
1-0

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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pumas UNAM +280, Toluca -110, Draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 25.3%
  • Toluca: 51.1%
  • Draw: 23.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 51.1%, while Pumas UNAM has a win probability of 25.3%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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