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Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [4/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Friday's Necaxa vs Pachuca matchup.
Necaxa will take on Pachuca in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Victoria on Friday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Necaxa as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Necaxa-Pachuca game 10,000 times," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Necaxa a 41.5% chance of winning, Pachuca a 34.9% chance, and a 23.6% chance of a draw."
For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Necaxa vs. Pachuca predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 41.5% chance of Necaxa winning, a 34.9% chance for Pachuca, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:08PM, Apr 11
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
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Necaxa vs. Pachuca Odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +190 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -165 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Necaxa vs. Pachuca Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Necaxa vs. Pachuca matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Necaxa-Pachuca Pick Get Dimers Pro Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 PCH | 10.6% |
| NXA 2-1 PCH | 8.8% |
| NXA 1-2 PCH | 7.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 37.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Pachuca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's action between Necaxa and Pachuca at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
- Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Necaxa vs. Pachuca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Pachuca vs. Necaxa picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 41.5% win probability on Friday, Pachuca has a 34.9% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on Liga MX
Stay informed with the latest Liga MX news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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